2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumElway Poll of Washington State: HRC: 45% Trump: 24%
Both Hillary Clinton and Jay Inslee have double-digit leads over their Republican opponents in the
new Elway Poll conducted last week.
Among the most likely voters, Clintons lead stretched to 45-24%. Likely voters are de?ined here as
voters who have voted in at least 2 of the last 4 elections. They comprise 70% of this sample.
Libertarian Gary Johnson had 7% among all voters, while Green Party candidate Jill Stein got 4%;
16% were undecided and 6% said they may not vote for president this time. Washington has a history
of support for third party candidates: Ross Perot got 19% of the vote here in 1992 and 9% in 1996;
John Anderson got 11% in 1980, and who can forget that the Bull Moose party won the state in 1912.
Clintons strongest support came from:
Democrats (86% vs. 2% for Trump, 4% for Stein and 2% who may not vote);
Women (50% vs. 17% for Trump);
King County (55% vs. 13% for Trump);
Voters with post-graduate educations (62% vs. 14% for Trump).
Trumps strongest support came from:
Republicans (60% vs. 6% for Clinton, 7% for Johnson, and 8%
who may not vote);
Men without college degrees (37% vs. 25% Clinton);
Eastern Washington (37% vs. 29% for Clinton
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/Elway-Poll-Governor-President-081516.pdf
PearliePoo2
(7,768 posts)I've lived on both sides of the Cascade Mountains and the difference is like night and day.
SaschaHM
(2,897 posts)He should spend most of Sept/Oct there.
PearliePoo2
(7,768 posts)King County is as BLUE as the deep blue sea! But remember, this is the idiot that just spent time and resources in Connecticut!!
MFM008
(19,816 posts)We're at 97% for HRC on 538.
Maybe he can shave it down to 96.9.