2016 Postmortem

pnwmom

(108,989 posts) Sun Aug 7, 2016, 09:10 PM Aug 2016

New NBC poll. 50% Hillary vs. 42 Trump.

I just heard this on TV.

5 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

New NBC poll. 50% Hillary vs. 42 Trump. (Original Post) pnwmom Aug 2016 OP

It's from earlier this week. writes3000 Aug 2016 #1

Thanks. They didn't say that, but it makes sense. n/t pnwmom Aug 2016 #2

If you've ever worked on a political campaign, these facts are known... displacedtexan Aug 2016 #3

4. It's August... StraightRazor Aug 2016 #4

It's the most lopsided race in recent history. KMOD Aug 2016 #5

writes3000

(4,734 posts)

1. It's from earlier this week.

Reply to pnwmom (Original post)

Sun Aug 7, 2016, 09:26 PM

Aug 2016

pnwmom

(108,989 posts)

2. Thanks. They didn't say that, but it makes sense. n/t

Reply to writes3000 (Reply #1)

Sun Aug 7, 2016, 09:36 PM

Aug 2016

displacedtexan

(15,696 posts)

3. If you've ever worked on a political campaign, these facts are known...

Reply to pnwmom (Original post)

Sun Aug 7, 2016, 11:04 PM

Aug 2016

1. 50% is the holy grail of polling numbers
2. Any number under 44% is a humiliating loss
3. It takes an 8 point lead to keep someone from cheating an election (anything closer can be explained by MOE and/or last minute surges in voter turnout)

When you consider these facts, Trump probably has no idea how bad his week has been.

StraightRazor

(260 posts)

4. 4. It's August...

Reply to displacedtexan (Reply #3)

Mon Aug 8, 2016, 01:17 AM

Aug 2016

and the race will tighten.

KMOD

(7,906 posts)

5. It's the most lopsided race in recent history.

Reply to StraightRazor (Reply #4)

Mon Aug 8, 2016, 01:21 AM

Aug 2016

Still, GOTV. It's looking good that we will take back the Senate, and potentially the House.

Love those Hillary coattails.

Reply to this discussion