Donald Trump Could Be Reshaping The Electoral Map — But Not In The Way He Wants
Donald Trump Could Be Reshaping The Electoral Map — But Not In The Way He Wants
by Natalie Jackson at the Huffington Post
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/donald-trump-battleground-arizona-virginia_us_57a753d8e4b056bad215cffb?9yrpcrbtos8o7p66r
"SNIP.............
Both states are showing a reversal from trends in the last few presidential election cycles, and that’s not good news for Trump.
Republican nominee Mitt Romney won Arizona by 9 points in 2012, and the race was never close in the state. The last time a Democrat won in the Grand Canyon State was 1996, when Bill Clinton was re-elected. With that exception, Arizona has voted Republican in presidential contests all the way back to 1948.
Virginia, on the other hand, has become a swing state in recent elections. It has voted Democratic in only three presidential elections since 1948, and two of those were 2008 and 2012. Barack Obama won the state by less than 4 points in his 2012 re-election bid. Polls showed a fairly close race in Virginia during the fall of 2012.
CBS/YouGov also released a Nevada poll showing Clinton up by a narrow 2-point margin among likely voters. That’s not surprising, since the state has been a presidential battleground for more than 20 years. Obama won by a 12-point margin in 2008 and by nearly 7 points in 2012, but prior to that, Nevada’s voters had divided closely between Republican and Democratic candidates.
...............SNIP"
