2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forum538 Now Cast Update
TL;DR: Clinton: 92.9%, Dumpster: 7.1%
Az and Ga BOTH light blue in the Now cast. Wow.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#now
jcgoldie
(11,645 posts)Adrahil
(13,340 posts)Both Poll-Only and Polls-Plus are at all-time highs too. I think it's getting to "a comeback would be unprecedented" territory. I heard Halperin (not exactly a Clinton fan) say he though the first debate would probably bury Trump.
FSogol
(45,526 posts)All over except for the celebrating!
GOTV, DU
Funtatlaguy
(10,886 posts)And the House a lighter shade of red
FSogol
(45,526 posts)Funtatlaguy
(10,886 posts)That would take a Dem landslide of epic proportions.
House Guru pollster Charles Cook currently estimates a Dem pickup of 10-15 House seats.
livetohike
(22,163 posts)here in PA .
MohRokTah
(15,429 posts)She could end up with the entire Eastern Seaboard going blue!!!!!!
Major Nikon
(36,827 posts)With only 94 days left he's going to have to start spending money in traditionally red states while HRC is free to focus on those states which are likely to have the most impact.
eppur_se_muova
(36,289 posts)Sadly, he has a dead lock on my home state of AL.
Adrahil
(13,340 posts)My home state of MD is a lock!