ELECTORAL MAP: Hillary Clinton is on track for a blowout win in November

[applegrove]

ELECTORAL MAP: Hillary Clinton is on track for a blowout win in November

by Pamela Engel at Business Insider

http://www.businessinsider.com/electoral-college-hillary-clinton-trump-uva-2016-8

"SNIP.............

An Electoral College map released Thursday from the University of Virginia Center for Politics projected Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton winning the November election by a landslide.

UVA altered its map to reflect recent changes in the likely political leanings of certain states, but Clinton still easily came out on top.

Larry Sabato, the director of the UVA Center for Politics, described what he said made the map different from most polls, which reflect the more fickle tendencies of the electorate. The UVA electoral map focused on "the electoral fundamentals and fixed elements of politics that predetermine most votes, especially partisanship, demographics, and strong forces shaping the political landscape."

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Here's the UVA map:

[URL=.html][IMG][/IMG][/URL]
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[katsy]

1. M A N D A T E

Yay

And a few SC justices yay

Up your arse gop & you wish you had confirmed PBO's nominee.

[Wounded Bear]

2. Not unless we flip the Senate...

and hopefully, the House. Even if we do win the Senate, we'll need a rules change so they can no longer filibuster SCJ nominees.

[katsy]

3. Hopefully the senate will flip in a blowout.

Are they going to filibuster for 8 years? I'd like to see how that works out.

[enough]

4. Looks good. It's early August. (nt)

[StevieM]

5. I am going to predict that we do better in Arizona than people suspect.

I think a 7 point national victory gets her a tie in Arizona. If she can win nationally by 8 or 9 points then I think she can win Arizona by 1 or 2 points.

My prediction is a 10 point national win and a 3 point win in Arizona.

Latino voters never had this level of disgust with Mitt Romney, John McCain or Bob Dole. They are going to turn out in droves to defeat Trump, as well as Sheriff Joe Arpaio.

[Bernardo de La Paz]

6. Dukakis had a 17 point lead. However now we have 538 & PEC

As of 5:03 EDT today, Pennsylvania went Safe D over at PEC, and Florida went from tossup to probable D. 223 Electoral College votes Safe for Hillary.

About the same time at 538 Clinton was approaching to a hair's breadth from 80% (79.9) of probability of beating Trump.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

http://election.princeton.edu/electoral-college-map/