2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forum***** BREAKING***** Poll Shows Clinton Leading Trump by 6 Points in Florida
Press Release: Poll Shows Clinton Leading Trump by 6 Points in Florida
Statement of Methodology: This survey of 500 likely Florida general election voters was conducted between August 1 and August 3, 2016, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults who indicated they were likely to vote in the November 2016 general election for president. Each areas quota and demographic information -- including race and age -- was determined from previous like elections and 2010 Census data. Samples of both standard landline and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each county were proportional to the number of likely voters expected based on similar past elections. The 67 Florida counties were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the household were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-4.4 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document that follows. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.
http://www.suffolk.edu/academics/10740.php
writes3000
(4,734 posts)MohRokTah
(15,429 posts)auntpurl
(4,311 posts)RAFisher
(466 posts)I keep seeing Pro-Rubio groups running ads about how Murphy is coming to steal Social Security and kill your grandma. Murphy has no name recognition and little ad presence. Attaching Rubio to Trump might be a way to win over some of those Clinton/Rubio voters.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)Usually the Democratic senate candidate in FL runs ahead of the Democratic presidential candidate.
HERVEPA
(6,107 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)Shows there are going to be a lot of ticket splitters.
yardwork
(61,678 posts)Hortensis
(58,785 posts)schtick. No doubt the giant dark-money Koch alliance is pleased.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)It is understandable.
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)Hortensis
(58,785 posts)But I'm also remembering PR went big for him over Trump.
Thought I remembered something else and yes -- Rubio was named to the PR debt crisis task force back in July. I had a nasty clutch then and hoped that did not mean Mr. Be Whatever Sells Best was going to run for his old Senate seat. Sigh...
Demsrule86
(68,620 posts)voteearlyvoteoften
(1,716 posts)I don't think so
Demsrule86
(68,620 posts)I guess he is staying in...too bad because he will bring down Murphy. I did see that he was dropping out but the stories were not accurate I guess.
Demsrule86
(68,620 posts)Demsrule86
(68,620 posts)Laura PourMeADrink
(42,770 posts)Cryptoad
(8,254 posts)Heard that Trump said today that Fl should have to fight the Zika V on its own with no help from Fed!
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)for either party, he'll take it. While he's saying it, at least.
voteearlyvoteoften
(1,716 posts)Compared to other polls that's too darn close.
GOTV Florida