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2016 Postmortem

DonViejo

(60,536 posts) Thu Aug 4, 2016, 10:06 AM Aug 2016

3

What Are Clinton’s Chances?

Here are the latest forecasts showing Hillary Clinton’s chance of winning the presidential election:

* FiveThirtyEight: 70%

* Sam Wang: 80%

* The Upshot: 74%

* PredictWise: 78%

https://politicalwire.com/2016/08/03/what-are-clintons-chances/

4 replies

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What Are Clinton’s Chances? (Original Post) DonViejo Aug 2016 OP

the betting markets are usually always correct beachbum bob Aug 2016 #1

They were wrong about Trump oberliner Aug 2016 #3

i never pay attention to gop candidates...and their primaries beachbum bob Aug 2016 #4

Wang was actually better than FiveThirtyEight in 12. He predicted it almost exactly as it turned out Demsrule86 Aug 2016 #2

beachbum bob

(10,437 posts)

1. the betting markets are usually always correct

Reply to DonViejo (Original post)

Thu Aug 4, 2016, 10:15 AM

Aug 2016

oberliner

(58,724 posts)

3. They were wrong about Trump

Reply to beachbum bob (Reply #1)

Thu Aug 4, 2016, 10:21 AM

Aug 2016

Spectacularly so.

beachbum bob

(10,437 posts)

4. i never pay attention to gop candidates...and their primaries

Reply to oberliner (Reply #3)

Thu Aug 4, 2016, 10:29 AM

Aug 2016

Demsrule86

(68,620 posts)

2. Wang was actually better than FiveThirtyEight in 12. He predicted it almost exactly as it turned out

Reply to DonViejo (Original post)

Thu Aug 4, 2016, 10:17 AM

Aug 2016

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