2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumBye Bye New Hampshire ***New WBUR Poll Clinton 47, Trump 32***
http://www.wbur.org/politicker/2016/08/04/clinton-over-trump-new-hampshire-pollOh, and just for good measure, Kelly Ayotte down 10% in the Senate Race.
Thrill
(19,178 posts)Vinca
(50,299 posts)She's been a very popular governor and would have had the edge on Ayotte without the Trump craziness. We have to get the Senate back!
PatSeg
(47,543 posts)It would be great to have two Democratic female senators representing our state. I admire them both.
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)CobaltBlue
(1,122 posts)The Democratic Party, when winning, will carry New Hampshire. The tilt is about +2. Barack Obama, in 2008, won nationally by +7.26 and carried New Hampshire by +9.61, a spread of 2.35 percentage points. With re-election in 2012, Obama won the U.S. Popular Vote by +3.86 and carried New Hampshire by +5.58, a spread of 1.72 percentage points.
If this +15, for New Hampshire, were to be the result of Election 2016, it suggests that Democrat Hillary Clinton would win election, over Republican Donald Trump, in part by carrying the U.S. Popular Vote with a margin of D+13.
piechartking
(617 posts)I just hope Julian Assange forgets to pay his internet bill in October.
mikeargo
(675 posts)And take Guinta (R-Crook) with you.