Clinton Back Above 70% At 538

[Doctor Jack]

Taking off like a rocket again

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=mobilebar&v=1

[VMA131Marine]

1. Georgia and Arizona are definitely "in play" as Hillary pickups from 2012

[SheriffBob]

2. outstanding!

Vroom, Vroom.

[jcgoldie]

3. I am glad to see Hillary's odds increasing but...

It strikes me more than ever that the coalitions are changing in this election. How else could AZ and GA be in play and yet she's so narrowly ahead in PA? Trump has changed the GOP base significantly.

[Doctor Jack]

4. Up by 4 in Penn

Not that bad

[iandhr]

6. Growing share of the minority vote in AZ, and GA.

PA is a rust belt state. A lot of economically depressed areas. The people there have some very legitimate grievances. People in that situation are looking for an outlet for their anger. These are folks you can be easily convinced to vote for Trump similar to the people in the UK who voted for Brexit. These folks are already down. They feel they have nothing to loose.

[geek tragedy]

7. Not so much changing as states are changing demographically

Georgia and AZ voters are becoming more diverse. Lots of older white voters without college degrees in PA.

[Peacetrain]

5. Thank God!

[lady lib]

8. I'm feeling better now. Thanks Doctor Jack! nt