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RandySF

(59,185 posts)
Fri Jul 29, 2016, 12:59 AM Jul 2016

PA-Sen: Suffolk University Poll: McGinty 43 Toomey 36

Hours before taking the stage for the biggest speech of her life, Katie McGinty got a huge boost from the latest Suffolk University poll.
The poll shows McGinty – who is set to speak at the Democratic National Convention around 5:30 Thursday night – with a 7-point advantage over GOP Sen. Pat Toomey.

McGinty leads with female voters by 16 points over the incumbent, 48-32, while Toomey edges Gov. Tom Wolf’s former chief of staff with male voters 40-38, according to the poll.

Toomey wins the white vote 41-36, but minorities overwhelmingly back the Democrat for Senate, 68-14.

Philadelphia is McGinty’s strongest region, beating Toomey by 36 points in the City of Brotherly Love. McGinty also leads in the southwest (46-34) and central PA (41-38). Toomey found his biggest support from western PA (44-38) and the northeast (40-36).

McGinty, who also served as Secretary of the DEP under former Gov. Ed Rendell, leads her opponent across all age groups.



http://www.politicspa.com/pa-sen-suffolk-university-poll-mcginty-43-toomey-36/77353/

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PA-Sen: Suffolk University Poll: McGinty 43 Toomey 36 (Original Post) RandySF Jul 2016 OP
Excellent news! blue neen Jul 2016 #1
Take this poll with a grain of salt Cosmocat Jul 2016 #2
She will need a high Philly turnout BumRushDaShow Jul 2016 #3

Cosmocat

(14,571 posts)
2. Take this poll with a grain of salt
Fri Jul 29, 2016, 06:35 AM
Jul 2016

Only 500 people in the poll and results are pretty tilted. If McGinty 8s ahead its VERY tight.

BumRushDaShow

(129,410 posts)
3. She will need a high Philly turnout
Fri Jul 29, 2016, 06:51 AM
Jul 2016

to boot Toomey. Since this seat is up during a Presidential election year, the odds are better. But the one thing about PA that has been elusive in the past, is to have 2 Democrats in the Senate. The last time that happened was in 1991 when John Heinz was killed in a helicopter accident and Harris Wofford was initially appointed and later won a special election to fill the remainder of the term. But unfortunately when it came time to run for a new full term, he lost to Frothy.

So this year is high stakes to break that precedent of not being able to get 2 elected Democrats in the Senate from PA.

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