2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumRead this and calm down
http://www.rawstory.com/2016/07/trump-has-a-huge-lead-over-hillary-clinton-among-white-voters-heres-why-it-doesnt-matter/Thanks to the USs changing demographics, winning white voters is no longer necessary to win the White House. Exit poll data from 2012 found that non-Hispanic white voters comprised about 72% of the electorate, but that share is already a sharp drop from past elections; in the 1980s, this same demographic comprised as much as 85% of the electorate.
The Clinton campaign knows this that is why they are confident
elleng
(131,006 posts)in a period of time when
'The most powerful force in American politics today is anti-establishment fury at a system rigged by big corporations, Wall Street, and the super-wealthy.
This is a big reason why Donald Trump won the Republican nomination. Its also why Bernie Sanders took 22 states in the Democratic primaries, including a majority of Democratic primary voters under age 45.
There are no longer moderates. Theres no longer a center. Theres authoritarian populism (Trump) or democratic populism (which had been Bernies political revolution, and is now up for grabs).
And then theres the Republican establishment (now scattered to the winds), and the Democratic establishment.
If Hillary Clinton and the Democratic Party dont recognize this realignment, theyre in for a rude shock as, Im afraid, is the nation. Because Donald Trump does recognize it. His authoritarian (I am your voice) populism is premised on it.'>>>
https://www.facebook.com/RBReich/?fref=nf
gabeana
(3,166 posts)and what is always being overlooked is that there are a lot of moderates R turning away from Trump
elleng
(131,006 posts)but I'm not betting on them.
genna
(1,945 posts)There is a bubble right now. The ground is moving out from under us and people are used to the way things were DON'T SEE IT.
Van Jones talked about what overwhelming number of minority voters need to show up to stem this tide in majority voter vote patterns. Obama did something that has not happened before. Does Hillary inspire that kind of GOTV effort amongst minorities? Does Tim Kaine make minorities want to GOTV?
We need a response to what is clearly happening in the base. These people in the street and booing in the hall who may be overwhelmingly affluent or middle class white voters are not the whim of a spoiler few who are not Democrats.
These people are a part of our base.
LanternWaste
(37,748 posts)Two weeks ago, Trump was polling 0% (yup-- 0%!) in both OH and PA among black voters. That in itself, gives me great succor, and is a leading indicator of the November results.
timlot
(456 posts)Would a democrat who voted for Reagan actually have voted for Clinton, Kerry, and Obama? Do these people still exist. They sound like republicans to me.