Election results 2012: Pundits who predicted wrong

[powergirl]

http://bcove.me/8wgo07af

Well, not everyone can be right. Here’s POLITICO’s rundown of the top pundits who got it wrong and predicted a Mitt Romney win. Oops:

Newt Gingrich:

“I believe the minimum result will be 53-47 Romney, over 300 electoral votes.” – Oct. 25, on Fox News.

Karl Rove:

Romney 285, Obama 253. “If crowds at his recent stops in these states [NV, WI and PA] are any indication of his supporters’ enthusiasm, Mr. Romney will likely be able to claim victory in these states as well.” — Nov. 5, on his website.

Fox News contributor Dick Morris:

Romney 325, Obama 213. “It will be the biggest surprise in recent American political history. It will rekindle the whole question as to why the media played this race as a nailbiter where in fact I think Romney’s going to win by quite a bit.” — Nov. 4, on Fox News.

Conservative radio host Laura Ingraham:

“I think he’s going to win New Hampshire, Wisconsin, and a few other surprises. I think this thing is going to be close.” — Oct. 31, on the Laura Ingraham Show.

The Weekly Standard’s Bill Kristol:

“I’m cautiously optimistic that Romney’s going to win.” — Oct. 31, on the Laura Ingraham Show.

Conservative columnist George Will:

Romney 321, Obama 217. “The wild card in what I’ve projected is I’m projecting Minnesota to go for Romney.” — Nov. 4, on ABC’s “This Week.”

UnskewedPolls’ Dean Chambers:

Romney 311, Obama 227. “Despite the pattern of skewed polls, most of them commissioned by the mainstream media, the overall electoral landscape is looking more and more favorable for Romney.” — Nov. 1, on examiner.com.

The Washington Examiner’s Michael Barone:

“Bottom line: Romney 315, Obama 223. That sounds high for Romney. But he could drop Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and still win the election. Fundamentals.” — Nov. 2, writing in The Washington Examiner.

House Speaker John Boehner:

“I think Ohioans vote with their wallets. That’s why I think Romney’s going to win on Tuesday.” — Nov. 4, on CNN.

Sarah Palin:

“I do believe that enough Americans have awakened and understand it’s time for a shift.” — Nov. 2, on Fox News.

Fox News’s Sean Hannity:

“I got this, Romney three points.” — Nov. 2, on Fox News.

CNBC’s Larry Kudlow:

”I am now predicting a 330 vote electoral vote landslide. Yes, that’s right — 330 electoral votes.” — Oct. 25, on CNBC.

Fox News contributor Charles Krauthammer:

“Romney, very close. But he’ll win the popular by I think about half a point, electoral college probably a very narrow margin.” — Nov. 2, on Fox News.

Rush Limbaugh:

“All of my thinking says Romney big. All of my feeling is where my concern is. But my thoughts, my intellectual analysis of this — factoring everything I see plus the polling data — it’s not even close. Three hundred-plus electoral votes for Romney.” — Nov. 5, on his radio show.

The Wall Street Journal’s Peggy Noonan:

“I think it’s Romney. … While everyone is looking at the polls and the storm, Romney’s slipping into the presidency. ”— Nov. 5, on her Wall Street Journal blog.

Former Bush White House press secretary Ari Fleischer:

“My prediction: Romn 50.1%-49.5%. Romn w minimum 271 EVs (FL, VA, CO, WI, NH). 309 EVs if he takes OH&PA. Pres-elect Romney.” — Nov. 4, via Twitter.


Read more: http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1112/83447.html#ixzz2BVxoPTXk

[dchill]

1. They should leave it to the pros...

Nate Silver and Sam Wang, for instance.

[tularetom]

2. CNBC's Larry Kudlow may turn out to be on the money

CNBC’s Larry Kudlow:

”I am now predicting a 330 vote electoral vote landslide. Yes, that’s right — 330 electoral votes.” — Oct. 25, on CNBC.

With VA, CO, OH, and FL in the Obama column it adds up to 332 electoral votes for the president.

[Moostache]

3. I am saving this post...

And the next election cycle or the next story that Fox starts blathering on and on and on about the "liberal media bias" or the "inherent polling bias" or "this is going to be really close" nonsense breaks out, I am going to remind everyone about just how WRONG they always are....its not even just tonight - ITS EVERY TIME!!!

I just can't believe so many people - more than 50,000,000 in all - still fall for their crap, their lying and their racism.

I am finding it hilarious tonight that the local conservative wasteland radio station has been reduced to running best-of and historical clips. They have just given up on everything tonight...and I LOVE IT! Then FINALLY....an announcer dared to say the obvious - government ONLY works with compromise and working together. Then they lamented the loss of BILLIONS in spending on an election that essentially changed NOTHING - the Senate?...Still Blue...the House?...Still Red?...B.H.O.?...STILL PRESIDENT AND STILL AMERICAN!!!!!

Note to republicans - YOU LOSE BECAUSE YOU LIE!

It's that simple.
No, really, THAT simple...

STOP LYING - to yourselves, to the public, to the press, to everyone!

You KNOW what the problems with your message are - its HATEFUL, its UNTRUE and its a PROVEN LOSING message.

Polls are NOT ALL biased.
Math is NOT wrong.
Science is NOT "sent from the depths of hell".
Global Climate Change is NOT a hoax.
Women are NOT property of white men.
Rape is NOT "legitimate" or "forcible" or "intended by God"...it is RAPE!!!
A zygote is NOT a person - at least not in the eyes of people who would be otherwise forced to take the cells from zygote to fetus to infant under someone else's decision if you get your way...
Minorities are NOT going away nor are they full of "shiftless takers" or any other pejorative that you hurl at them to feel better about the shrinking size of your metaphorical penis (ie. the end of the white majority).

You cannot win a national election with only the old Confederacy and a loose coalition of racists, cranks, crazies and zealots.

But, please, don't take my word for it...keep on attacking every one of your own who DARE to work with the president or voice concern over the direction of your runaway train. As far as I am concerned, you can spend the next 40 years and the second half of my life in the wilderness eating your own just as you have for years now.

BE. MY. GUEST.

[powergirl]

5. Agreed - Repub media

gins up their, uh, "base" with lies and then they are soooooo shocked when they lose. I live in Texas so I am listening to all the whiners around here, blah blah blah.

[courseofhistory]

4. What a bunch of irrelevant trolls. None of them should be

allowed to spew their garbage on the networks anymore. They and a good portion of the media created a lot of angst among Obama supporters and tried to pump up the ratings and support for Romney. There crappy predictions are the icing on their big pile of ****!!! Do you think they actually delusionall believed this or were they just doing it to egg people on and keep their faces in the media? Jerks!

[sadbear]

6. Boehner was half right.

Ohioans did vote with their wallets.