2016 Postmortem

DonViejo

(60,536 posts) Tue Jul 19, 2016, 01:27 PM Jul 2016

Hillary Clinton has a 76% chance of winning the presidency, our election forecast finds....

Hillary Clinton has a 76% chance of winning the presidency, our election forecast finds. See the state-by-state breakdown.

The Upshot’s elections model suggests that Hillary Clinton is favored to win the presidency, based on the latest state and national polls. A victory by Mr. Trump remains quite possible: Mrs. Clinton’s chance of losing is about the same probability that an N.B.A. player will miss a free throw.

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/presidential-polls-forecast.html

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Hillary Clinton has a 76% chance of winning the presidency, our election forecast finds.... (Original Post) DonViejo Jul 2016 OP

I like this way of breaking down scenarios whatthehey Jul 2016 #1

whatthehey

(3,660 posts)

1. I like this way of breaking down scenarios

Reply to DonViejo (Original post)

Tue Jul 19, 2016, 01:33 PM

Jul 2016

The 945 vs 70-odd ways to win is a good antidote to the "ZOMG!!! Trump is within 5% nationally!!!!" attempts to express "concern."

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