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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumTweets from Nate:
Tweets All / No replies 4m Nate Silver ?@fivethirtyeight
Keeping an Eye on Chesterfield County, Va. http://nyti.ms/RHnaXa
View summary Hide summary Reply RetweetedRetweet Delete FavoritedFavorite 15m Nate Silver ?@fivethirtyeight
Swing State Exit Polls Show Party ID Edge for Democrats http://nyti.ms/VRSIcF
View summary Hide summary Reply RetweetedRetweet Delete FavoritedFavorite 39m Nate Silver ?@fivethirtyeight
[new article] Live Blog: The 2012 Presidential Election http://nyti.ms/VAuOqJ
?@tedfrank
Remember: 1) early unmodulated exit polls are garbage; 2) early VA returns will be heavily GOP, with blue counties reporting later at night.
Retweeted by Nate Silver
Expand Collapse Reply RetweetedRetweet Delete FavoritedFavorite 10h Nate Silver ?@fivethirtyeight
Running one last projection based on this AM's polls. Our projected margin in Florida now Obama 49.797, Romney 49.775.
FavoritedFavorite 12h Nate Silver ?@fivethirtyeight
IMPORTANT: That we have Obama as a ~90% favorite does NOT mean we're predicting a landslide. We expect a close election.
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Tweets from Nate: (Original Post)
amborin
Nov 2012
OP
Yupy
(154 posts)1. Blue is the color!!!!
babylonsister
(171,102 posts)2. FL is so close!
amborin
(16,631 posts)3. are polls still open in Florida? people need to stay in line if so
babylonsister
(171,102 posts)5. I have no idea; if the lines were long, people have to vote.
Frustrating for us, but imagine being on one of those lines!
Firebirds01
(576 posts)4. florida
is about 16k difference with 51% of precincts reporting.