FINAL Survey USA, OHIO: Obama 49, Romney 44

[VirginiaTarheel]

"When all is said and done, and 24 hours remain until votes are counted in Ohio, Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney 49% to 44%, according to SurveyUSA’s 5th and final pre-election tracking poll, conducted for WCMH-TV in Columbus. In 5 tracking polls, Obama has never trailed; today’s poll is the first time Obama has polled as high as 49%. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll one week ago, Obama is up 1 point, Romney is down 1 point. Obama had led by 3, now leads, at the wire, by 5. Men are moving to Obama on the final weekend. 6 out of 7 Ohio voters has been personally contacted by one or both presidential campaigns."

http://www.surveyusa.com/index.php/2012/11/05/election-eve-ohio-obama-in-strongest-position-yet-to-capture-buckeye-states-18-critical-electoral-votes/

[helpisontheway]

1. Please oh please let this be true!

I would love to see Romney's face if Ohio is called for the president.

[VirginiaTarheel]

2. And Survey USA tends to be a bit more favorable to Repubs in its polling!

[TroyD]

26. Survey USA seems pretty fair to me

And it's good to know it was ranked as one of the most accurate pollsters in 2010.

[tblue]

3. Oh dear God, please make it so!

That's a prayer.

[BeyondGeography]

4. Men moving to Obama

Hell-o.

[Twelve String]

15. Maybe his campaign

has a binder full of men!

[BeyondGeography]

16. Maybe it's raining men

[yellowcanine]

22. Or maybe the binder full of Jeeps to China claims just bit Romney in the butt.

A lot of auto workers in Northern Ohio probably did not appreciate that so much.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

5. They Should Have A Good Handle On OH Polling It As Many Times As They Have

[michello]

6. Those ads backfired on Rmoney's lying ass!

This is why he is taking his ass back there tomorrow.

[zebe83]

7. That is up +2 from the last Survey USA poll that RCP had in their average.

I love it when RCP has to shown little blue arrows up for Obama!!!

I picture Repugs hitting refresh and getting upset. It make me happy.

Rasmussen is supposed to come out with a new Ohio poll today too.

[gordianot]

8. If Axelrod is willing to cut off mustache could we convince Chuck Todd to cut his off re: Ohio?

I would love it if that swarmy prick is chosen to call Ohio.


I initially chose another rather inappropriate body part my apology.

[rosesaylavee]

21. thank you!

I understand how it can happen and also appreciate your rewrite.

[VirginiaTarheel]

10. This may be the most brutal poll for Romney of the entire campaign

[DemsUnited]

18. Agree. SUSA is reputable and was very accurate in 2010, better than most 2008

Not a polling firm that "herds".

This poll will be included in all aggregators and make it very hard to continue any MSM Ohio is tied so called "narrative"

[corkhead]

11. the corporate and lapdog reichwing press will tell us that it is "almost within the margin of error"

[Fringe]

12. Yes!

Last edited Mon Nov 5, 2012, 04:44 PM - Edit history (1)

I love my Survey USA polls, lots of numbers, for people like me who love fooling with them!

I have my own spread sheet comparing 2008 and 2012 numbers, and we are looking good and doing better in 4 out of 5 of the areas covered in the poll.

However, we must get out the vote to make sure winning Ohio is a reality and not just a poll!

[WI_DEM]

13. They say 33% have already voted and Obama is up by 25 with them.

[VirginiaTarheel]

19. Officially, the State Board of Election reported that about 29 percent had voted by yesterday

But many counties had not updated their totals since Friday, so 33% is probably accurate.

[TexasCPA]

20. but 100% of the registered voters will not vote

The percentage of likely voters that have already voted is going to be higher than the percentage of registered voters who have voted.

[VirginiaTarheel]

27. I should have said 29 percent of total 2008 early vote tally has voted early this year

[Jennicut]

14. One of the more accurate pollsters in 2010, along with YouGov.

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/11/04/rasmussen-polls-were-biased-and-inaccurate-quinnipiac-surveyusa-performed-strongly/

So I sit up and take notice of all their polling. Looks like good movement in this poll for Obama with men.

[Evergreen Emerald]

17. Great news!

The momentum continues. I am feeling less and less trepidatious as we get closer to the election.

[outsideworld]

23. fantastic

[VirginiaTarheel]

24. WaPost said this way THE poll to take notice of today

[TroyD]

25. Obama is up 2 points in Ohio from last week's SurveyUSA poll

So they now have Obama with the same number in OHIO as PPP.

I hope they are right.