2016 Postmortem

titaniumsalute

(4,742 posts) Mon Nov 5, 2012, 12:06 PM Nov 2012

Intrade up to 67.2% for Obama

Love it!

9 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

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Intrade up to 67.2% for Obama (Original Post) titaniumsalute Nov 2012 OP

Kick! Dalai_1 Nov 2012 #1

Still lagging almost 20 pts behind the statistical probabilities... jcgoldie Nov 2012 #2

crap, was thinking of doing the same thing just now. Schema Thing Nov 2012 #3

Are you a US resident ? AFAIK trading on Intrade isn't legal for US residents. n/t PoliticAverse Nov 2012 #4

That's incorrect. jcgoldie Nov 2012 #6

Please do point me to to a definitive statement or ruling on the matter. n/t PoliticAverse Nov 2012 #7

I'm wondering if bettors are considering the Husted factor DrToast Nov 2012 #9

People know where this is going.Go Obama!!! hrmjustin Nov 2012 #5

What is the point of Romney people propping up his numbers at intrade Doctor Jack Nov 2012 #8

Dalai_1

(1,301 posts)

1. Kick!

Reply to titaniumsalute (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 12:06 PM

Nov 2012

jcgoldie

(11,646 posts)

2. Still lagging almost 20 pts behind the statistical probabilities...

Reply to titaniumsalute (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 12:10 PM

Nov 2012

I finally broke down and decided to get me some of that free money... but when I tried to sign up, I was informed that my money would not clear in time for the election... PHOOEY!

Schema Thing

(10,283 posts)

3. crap, was thinking of doing the same thing just now.

Reply to jcgoldie (Reply #2)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 12:13 PM

Nov 2012

PoliticAverse

(26,366 posts)

4. Are you a US resident ? AFAIK trading on Intrade isn't legal for US residents. n/t

Reply to jcgoldie (Reply #2)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 12:16 PM

Nov 2012

jcgoldie

(11,646 posts)

6. That's incorrect.

Reply to PoliticAverse (Reply #4)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 12:21 PM

Nov 2012

PoliticAverse

(26,366 posts)

7. Please do point me to to a definitive statement or ruling on the matter. n/t

Reply to jcgoldie (Reply #6)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 02:47 PM

Nov 2012

DrToast

(6,414 posts)

9. I'm wondering if bettors are considering the Husted factor

Reply to jcgoldie (Reply #2)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 02:51 PM

Nov 2012

That wouldn't be captured by polls, but it could be factored in by those betting.

That would explain why its trading below the levels suggested by statistical analyses.

hrmjustin

(71,265 posts)

5. People know where this is going.Go Obama!!!

Reply to titaniumsalute (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 12:16 PM

Nov 2012

Doctor Jack

(3,072 posts)

8. What is the point of Romney people propping up his numbers at intrade

Reply to titaniumsalute (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 02:49 PM

Nov 2012

What is that going to do for him? Once again, the GOP's priorities are all fucked up

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