Predict the Electoral College--What's your guess?

[WI_DEM]

I predict Obama 303 & Romney 235

Obama will win the swing states of OH, VA, WI, IA, CO, NV & NH

Romney will win NC & FL

[NRaleighLiberal]

1. my prediction, which is unchanged from when I made it a few days ago

http://www.democraticunderground.com/10021698249

[Raster]

2. I like that, and I think you are pretty much spot-on!

[Anthony McCarthy]

3. If Obama wins VA I'm going to bed.

If he wins FL and VA I'm going to sleep somewhat soundly. Especially if Democrats in Maine retake the legislature.

[sadbear]

4. I'm going on the conservative side, to make up for republican fraud and shenanigans:

Obama 288 - Romney 250

[Robbins]

5. I am laregly with you

Except I won't call NC&Fl.I call them complete tossups that It's hard to predect but Obama will win OH,VA,WI,IA,CO,NV & NH

[WI_DEM]

8. I was being conservative, too. I think Obama actually has a better shot

at NC than FL. Early voting in NC has been very good.

[Robbins]

20. Actully

It wouldn't shock me If Obama takes NC but loses Florida.That could be the upset of night on Presidential leval.Although both PPP and
Marist have Obama In the game for Florida.

[bornskeptic]

6. OBAMA 319, ROMNEY 219

Obama to take the states you listed plus NC and NE 2.

[geek tragedy]

7. Obama 303, Rmoney 235. nt

[TexasCPA]

9. Im at 303 - 235

Last edited Mon Nov 5, 2012, 09:41 PM - Edit history (2)

From Strongest to Weakest:

Strong Obama (183): DC, VT, HI, NY, DE, RI, MD, MA, IL, CA, WA, NJ, CT, ME, NM
Weak Obama (17): MN, OR
Soft Obama (71): ME2, MI, PA, WI, NV, OH
Leans Obama (32): IA, NH, CO, VA
Total Obama: 303

Strong Romney (134): UT, WY, ID, AR, AK, AL, TN, MS, TX, ND, OK, WV, KY, NE, MT, MO, LA
Weak Romney (46): IN, KS, SD, GA, SC, NE2
Soft Romney (11): AZ
Leans Romney (44): NC, FL
Total Romney: 235

Popular Vote - Obama 50.5%, Romney 48.1%

Obama will get between 271 and 347.
Romney will get between 191 and 267.

Obama wins the election.

[TexasCPA]

23. Florida

The only one I missed. Stupid Insider Advantage and Mason-Dixon polls screwed me over. I thought about taking one of these two polls out. If so Obama would of had the edge, but that would have been cheating.

[damnedifIknow]

10. I'm giving NC and Virginia to O

O-321 R-217 Oh and just a side note I came within a point of predicting the super bowl score last year.

[yellowcanine]

16. I don't think Super Bowl picks are relevant because in the SB the refs can't keep one team off the

field for a couple of plays just so the other team can score.

[lordcommander]

11. 347-191 Obama

Same as 2008 sans Indiana and NE CD 2.

[agentS]

12. I am at 304 to 234

R-Money wins Ohio because he's a cheating bastard.
R-Money loses Florida because he didn't cheat enough.
R-money loses VA because the Washington area wants to keep their Gov jobs.
R-Money wins NC barely.... I mean BARELY, like 1000 votes or something.
Obama loses WI because that Walker cheats. This one is the most iffy of the bunch.
Obama wins Omaha district.

[jcgoldie]

13. O: 332 R: 206

Obama will sweep the swing states but I don't think he gets NC despite what looks like some great ground work there in early voting.

[Faith9326]

14. I predict

That Obama will win all the swing states that you have him winning as well.


Except, I think Obama will take Florida. I think It'll be close, but I think he can take it.



As far as NC, I think Romney's going to take that.

[yellowcanine]

15. I am still at O 332, R 206, with outside chance of getting AZ and NC into Obama

column if the Latino vote comes through in a big way; so 247 with NC, 258 with both NC and AZ.

[whttevrr]

17. Obama 347 Romney 191

With popular vote= O 53% to R 47%

As posted here: http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251211182

This what I think will happen minimally. But, what I hope happens is a a vast sea of blue with even more popular votes.

[truebrit71]

18. Yup, I'd go along with this...

..but I think he still has a real shot at FL as well...which would make it 332 - 206..

Either way it's a solid ass-kicking by the Prez.

[longship]

19. Over 300.

Maybe barely over, as you predicted. But, I won't rule out something crazy like a complete blowout. The polls have been all over the map (no pun intended). The media need for a close race narrative may be driving things away from the reality of the electorate. Probably not. But I'd like to see them all with egg on their face.

[craigmatic]

21. I agree 303 O seems about right. If we can pull FL it'll be 332.

[demlion]

22. Obama 290 - Romney 248. Closer than we think