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OBAMAWILLWIN

(20 posts)
Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:31 AM Nov 2012

Can someone explain in polling what does

D+6 mean? Does it mean they expect the Democratic candidate to have a 6 point victory after voting takes place or what? Sometimes I see it in a poll and I always wondered if that is what they are referring to?

TIM KAINE 2012

OBAMA/BIDEN 2012

VIRGINIA VOTER!!!!!!

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Can someone explain in polling what does (Original Post) OBAMAWILLWIN Nov 2012 OP
It simply tells you how many of those who were contacted PsychProfessor Nov 2012 #1
how much the sample was skewed toward D or R or I or whatever.... flowomo Nov 2012 #2
It is not about "skewing," actually PsychProfessor Nov 2012 #4
You're right... flowomo Nov 2012 #5
also based on their assumption of actually turnout generally based on 2008 and or 2004. texasmomof3 Nov 2012 #3

PsychProfessor

(204 posts)
1. It simply tells you how many of those who were contacted
Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:34 AM
Nov 2012

reported themselves a D, R or I. The pollsters don't go out looking for specific numbers of each party. They take what they get. The key lately seems to be that given the strong rightward shift of the Republicans and the overall diminishing of the alleged Republican brand there are fewer folks self-identifying as R. Many of these have shifted to I. The D+6 would mean that the survey found a democratic affiliation advantage of 6 percent.

flowomo

(4,740 posts)
2. how much the sample was skewed toward D or R or I or whatever....
Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:34 AM
Nov 2012

based on voter registration in the polled area.

PsychProfessor

(204 posts)
4. It is not about "skewing," actually
Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:36 AM
Nov 2012

This is only true if you think of party affiliation as a demographic characteristic similar to gender, race, or ethnicity. It is not of course. It can change. Calling it "skewed" implies some kind of sampling error. It is not something the pollsters are doing. It is simply the results of people identifying on these random calls.

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