Senior Romney aides privately conceding that Obama will win Nevada

[TroyD]

Toby Harnden

Senior Romney aides privately conceding that Obama will win Nevada.

https://twitter.com/tobyharnden/status/265311438644588544

[mzteaze]

1. Who is this person?

[BluegrassDem]

6. He's a right wing hack from the Daily Mail

It's one of those right wing rags from England.

[mzteaze]

8. Thanks!

[Wellstone ruled]

2. Yes we Can and we did it!!!

[RandySF]

3. What took them so long?

[InsultComicDog]

4. according to Nate's chart

Nevada's polls tend to go further Republican than the actual results turn out to be. Obama outperformed the average of the polls by about 5 points in 2008. Kerry did better than the polls predicted by 2 points (though he did not win the state).

[TroyD]

5. And let's not forget Reid vs. Angle

In 2010 there were several pollsters showing Reid would lose to Angle and he won by 5 or 6 points.

[Zynx]

9. Reid was down an average of about 4 and won easily.

The Dems have a huge ground game advantage out there. They have a similar, though smaller, advantage in Colorado as well.

[TroyD]

10. What's the situation in Colorado right now?

The polls are close, but Nate Silver gives the edge to Obama.

On the other hand, I see the reports showing that Colorado is one of the few swing-states where the Republicans are ahead in early voting.

Then I hear Dems in CO say that they will be able to prevail on Election Day because of the better ground operation.

Do you see Obama pulling out a win in CO like Nate Silver predicts?

[TroyD]

7. Nate Silver changed Nevada to SAFE OBAMA today

He now has it as 90% likely to go Obama and took it out of the Swing State list that you normally see on the right-hand side of the page.

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

[reflection]

11. Senior Romney aides privately conceding that water is wet.

The GOP organization is Nevada is Keystone Cop quality according to everyone in the know. They never had a chance in NV.