2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumBernie Sanders Erased Hillary Clinton’s 15-point Lead in California and Could be Headed to a Coup
NATHAN FRANCIS
The Inquisitr
In recent weeks, Clinton appeared to hold a wide lead over Sanders in the Golden State. Polls showed her lead to be somewhere in the range of 15 to 18 points over Bernie Sanders, pointing to a win that would seal the nomination thanks to Clintons big lead in the party-picked superdelegates, many of whom committed to her before a single vote was cast this year.
A narrow win in California would not be enough for Bernie Sanders to erase Hillary Clintons wide lead in delegates, but there are signs that it could turn the tide in the race. Hillary Clinton has faced growing problems from her email scandal, with an ongoing FBI investigation into her unauthorized use of a private email server during her time as Secretary of State and a recent State Department inspector generals report that slammed her for violating policy regarding the server.
There is a growing sentiment that a win in California for Sanders especially one by a healthy margin could be a race-changing moment. Douglas E. Schoen of the Wall Street Journal wrote that a win by Sanders would underscore Clintons weaknesses and could give superdelegates the justification they need to change to Sanders.
This is no longer a hypothetical argument, either. David Shuster reported this week that many superdelegates are already preparing to leave Hillary Clinton and move to Sanders if he wins in California. So far none have changed to the Sanders camp, but if there is growing concern among superdelegates it could just take a handful changing sides to give others on the fence the justification they need to leave the troubled frontrunner.
Citing email investigations + comparative polls v Trump, several @HillaryClinton superdels suggest they'll switch if @BernieSanders wins CA
David Shuster (@DavidShuster) June 2, 2016
I don't think a California win is going to turn the superdelegates around. They were never going to back Sanders, even if he were ahead in pledged delegates. I do however support Mr. Sanders going down swinging. Progressives will have to wait four years for another shot at the White House, but we're gonna go down swinging.
CrowCityDem
(2,348 posts)portlander23
(2,078 posts)JoePhilly
(27,787 posts)Let Trump win, destroy the country ... and then some liberal utopia will arise out of the ashes.
The Tea Party had a similar idea ... although they see Trump as most likely to usher in a white Christo-Facist utopia that they dream about.
Response to JoePhilly (Reply #6)
artislife This message was self-deleted by its author.
dinkytron
(568 posts)Usernames say it all in many cases.
99Forever
(14,524 posts)Trump would be lucky to survive one term.
Perogie
(687 posts)Of course your belief is that Hilliary will win that election also. But the premise of the original post is correct. Progressives will have another shot in 4 years.
Also thanks for confirming that Hilliary isn't a progressive with your post.
CrowCityDem
(2,348 posts)...just wait until you try to primary a sitting President. That won't go over. Nope.
Perogie
(687 posts)So the original post is correct.
Nye Bevan
(25,406 posts)Or should have done, according to that logic.
democrattotheend
(11,607 posts)And the dynamics of the race were different.
That said, I don't see the supers switching unless it's clear that Hillary is unelectable.
Perogie
(687 posts)Nothing may come of it but you can't compare the two.
JoePhilly
(27,787 posts)book_worm
(15,951 posts)earlier in the night. It's over, sorry, but it is.
p.s.
I also think while California will be close (and Bernie doesn't need close) that HRC will win. I think her widely praised foreign policy speech the other day solidified her small lead in California.
onenote
(42,759 posts)I'm predicting a relatively narrow loss by Clinton in California and absolutely no movement away from her by super delegates. In fact, after the primaries finish up with Clinton holding a healthy lead (and a majority of pledged delegates), I'm expecting Obama and Biden to declare the race decided. With that declaration, not only will the supers committed to Clinton not be abandoning her, but a number of the undeclared supers will come out for her and even some Sanders delegates will move towards her.
Response to portlander23 (Original post)
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