2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumCNN Poll: White vote - 57% Romney, 40% Obama
What are your thoughts on this demographic breakdown?
Doesn't Romney need to be at 60% to win?
http://polltracker.talkingpointsmemo.com/polls/50971607ebcabf0e460000be
scheming daemons
(25,487 posts)geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)RichGirl
(4,119 posts)anneboleyn
(5,611 posts)We love that song...awesome.
Alekei_Firebird
(320 posts)Romney needs to be above 60% and for Obama to be sub-40%
ejbr
(5,856 posts)tbennett76
(223 posts)BALLGAME!
WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)with a strong African-American vote and strong Latino vote the president should win. Some polls suggest that Obama may get a higher Latino vote than '08 and just as strong a black vote.
kerouac2
(449 posts)us smart white people look bad...
Cha
(297,650 posts)we're looking good and way smart!
rurallib
(62,448 posts)but my race is so dumb sometimes.
msrizzo
(796 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,711 posts)pkdu
(3,977 posts)Romney needs more than 60% and future Republicans will need increasingly more as that demo is older and dying out in every way .
frazee
(61 posts)the Pew poll, and it's a much larger sample.
This is just the CNN poll number, so Romney's number may be worse in other polls, like Pew. I guess we'll get a better idea by averaging them together.
Does Nate Silver have a way of breaking down demographics? Does he have numbers for the White vote, Latino vote etc.?
Here's the full CNN poll, btw:
http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2012/images/11/04/top16.pdf
frazee
(61 posts)and I don't even know if he's made it public. I know he considers more than just the polls, though.
Never seen him discuss demographics in any detail.
trublu992
(489 posts)Liberal_Stalwart71
(20,450 posts)TroyD
(4,551 posts)Was it?
I thought McCain's number was about 58%.
Anyone know?
Liberal_Stalwart71
(20,450 posts)democrattotheend
(11,607 posts)Romney needs to do much better than McCain did among white voters, unless minority turnout is down significantly from 2008.
democrattotheend
(11,607 posts)CW says Obama needs 40% of the white vote to win. I'd feel better if he were at 42, but 40 is a lot better than 37.
TroyD
(4,551 posts)What is the Pew number for the white vote? I think I read that it's higher for Obama than in CNN.
democrattotheend
(11,607 posts)animalcrackers
(93 posts)like:
1) Do you have furniture laying on your lawn?
2) Do you have more guns than books in your house?
3) Are the wheels on your truck larger than your IQ?
4) Do you think Obama is a Communist, muslim, gay space man?
5) Who won the civil war?
Personally, I like drag racing, have kept an engine block (and my favorite rims) in my house during off season, and work in the oil field, have attempted to make my own alcohol, and couldn't imagine a better president than Barack Obama (btw I'm a white male)
smitra
(290 posts)The class is 100% white male, aged 20-24. Of course, I am in New York state -- still, this is upstate NY, where in the next Congressional district, the Dem and Rep are tied.
Btw, I am not white.