11-04-2012 Update - Nate Silver Swing State Cheat Sheet
I have a column for the states that Nate lists as "Likely" and column that shows each of Nate's state projection percentages.
And on the lower grid I show the base Electoral Votes and then have one column with Nate's totals for his "Likely" wins and one for the states where the projection is greater than 80%.
Notice Romney only has one swing state where he is > 50%, Florida, and only a 55% chance.
So if you only count the states for Obama that Nate projects as greater than 80%, we still have 277 EVs. And that does not even count Virginia at 71%, New Hampshire at 79% or Colorado at 69%.
So in other words, we should be felling pretty good!
I also added the Poll Closing time (Central Time) for each swing state for your election night reference.
I will update this and post it nightly after Nate does his update.
