2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumYou-Gov Final Wisconsin poll Obama leads by 4
Democratic President Barack Obama has moved out to a marginal lead over Republican challenger Mitt Romney in Wisconsin, 50% Obama to 46% Romney, in a YouGov poll of 1,225 likely voters statewide.
In Wisconsin (Oct 31-Nov 3):
The vote is close among likely voters who are Independents, 45% Romney-44% Obama.
Obama enjoys a solid 65%-33% lead in Milwaukee County and a similar 64%-31% lead in the southwestern part of the Badger state. Romney easily wins the southeast excluding Milwaukee County by 56%-40% and Romney wins the northwestern corner of the state, 54%-41%. The contest is in the northeast, where Romney holds a marginal 49%-46% lead over Obama.
In the race for Senate, Democratic U.S. Representative Tammy Baldwin clings to a nominal 48%-47% lead among likely voters over Republican former Governor Tommy Thompson.
The poll was conducted online October 31-November 3, 2012
http://today.yougov.com/news/2012/11/04/wisconsin/
milwaukeelib33
(140 posts)Crack 70%. That way we could worry a whole lot less about what happens in Fox Valley/ NE WI. The Journal Sentinel did a comparison map between 2008 and the recall election pointing out that mid-to-low 60's in Dane and Milwaukee was a substantial downturn and a significant factor in Wanker holding on.
WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)of the state. His only strongholds in the recall were really Milwaukee and Madison.
milwaukeelib33
(140 posts)I just find it inexcusable that the apathy shown in June may still be lingering. There is no reason, none, that Milwaukee should't be in the low 70's and Dane near mid 70's. We shouldn't have to depend on NW WI and SW WI to have to make up for lingering apathy that may effect turnout.