2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumYouGov National Poll: 36000 People Were Sampled
YouGov is out with their newest national poll in which they sampled an unheard of 36000 people and the results are....
Obama 48.5%
Romney 46.5%
http://cdn.yougov.com/r/1/ygTabs_november_likelyvoters_National.pdf
PsychProfessor
(204 posts)I am pretty sure!
Finally good to see the national polls lining up with the state polls.
eridani
(51,907 posts)They always e a bunch of questions about whether you like or dislike a lot of brand names also.
marlakay
(11,491 posts)WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)Ace Rothstein
(3,183 posts)That is a lot of people!
calimary
(81,466 posts)Good to have you with us! We need you as the time runs short. Let's win this thing.
Now get to work.
AverageJoe90
(10,745 posts)blazeKing
(329 posts)Win that 538 is showing for Obama. Looking good.
Doctor Jack
(3,072 posts)I think this is a very good sign that we are going to have 4 more years
libdem4life
(13,877 posts)Azathoth
(4,611 posts)fearnobush
(3,960 posts)And Nationally, yes, it's looking like a 2% edge.
Doctor Jack
(3,072 posts)Obama's advantage is in the electoral college and Romneys had been in the popular vote. Romney would have to be up several points nationally in order to have a shot at winning 270ev. With all of these polls out in the last few days showing Obama with a 2 point or so lead, that is an absolutely bleak sign of Romney. He is probably 4-5 points off nationally from even having a hope at squeaking out a win. Its no wonder Queen Anne is crying so much.
KCDem
(3,773 posts)With all of the women and minorities being so anti-Romney, how can he still have that percentage? *bangs head on keyboard*
Doctor Jack
(3,072 posts)However, look at Romney's numbers. He never gets above about 46% in the polls. His collation of people in nursing homes, racist meth dealers, and monster truck enthusiast is not enough to get him past the mid-40's.
Doctor_J
(36,392 posts)look for the thieves to win.
Doctor Jack
(3,072 posts)The margin of error would be almost non-existent in this poll
bornskeptic
(1,330 posts)That ould put the probability of Romney leading among the population from which the sampling is done at something less than one in a trillion. But, while this poll is more good news, how meaningful the result is depends on how accurate the likely voter screen is. That will determine what the poll actually measures.
Jennicut
(25,415 posts)That pretty much tells me Obama has an ever so slight momentum shift going in to Tuesday. At least for the popular vote. The state polls have shown that all along.
outsideworld
(601 posts)Xyzse
(8,217 posts)That's cool I guess.
It also depends where those people are.