2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumMississippi poll: Newt has narrow lead over Mittens
Newt Gingrich leads the Mississippi Republican presidential primary with 35%. Gingrich is followed by Mitt Romney with 31%, Rick Santorum with 20%, and Ron Paul with 7%.
Gingrich leads Romney 37% to 32% among self-identified Republicans, followed by Santorum with 21% and Paul with 3%. Among self-identified independents and Democrats, Paul leads with 33%, followed by Romney with 24%, Gingrich with 20%, and Santorum with 14%.
Gingrich leads Romney 37% to 30% among likely Republican primary voters saying they will definitely vote in the March 6 primary, followed by Santorum with 17% and Paul with 5%. Romney leads Santorum 40% to 20% among those saying they will probably vote, followed by Paul with 18% and Gingrich with 13%.
Gingrich leads with 49% among likely Republican primary voters saying they are supporters of the Tea Party, followed by Romney with 24%, Santorum with 17%, and Paul with 5%. Among likely primary voters saying they are not supporters of the Tea Party or are undecided about the Tea Party, Romney leads with 39%, followed by Santorum with 24%, Gingrich with 17%, and Paul with 10%.
Gingrich leads among men with 39%, followed by Romney and Santorum with 21% each, and Paul with 12%. Romney leads Gingrich 42% to 30% among women, followed by Santorum with 19% and Paul with 2%.
http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2012/primary/rep/ms/
Renew Deal
(81,866 posts)All of them can stay in to attempt to prevent Romney from getting 50% +1. I don't know if it will work.
Cirque du So-What
(25,949 posts)Whatever it takes to keep this clown circus on the road a little longer just tickles my pickle.
Mr.Turnip
(645 posts)which would bring this thing to an end far too quickly.
hayrow1
(198 posts)doing the counting.
Mr.Turnip
(645 posts)at 27.
I find that hard to believe, MS is a bit to the right of AL I think but it looks like Newts ego might just hand two states to Romney that he would have no chance to win otherwise.
hell Santorum would likely get over 50% if it was just him and Romney here.
and Newt is again saying he will stay in till the convention.
KharmaTrain
(31,706 posts)Millard has won only three states: Utah, Idaho & Arizona that Gramps won in '08...the others he's "won" were and will be won again by President Obama. If he wins the nomination, what percentage of those in the states he's lost will stay home, vote third party or just skip voting for President. A drop of 10% could turn a close election into something a bit larger. Millard's gonna find the further he goes in this process the less friends he has...
Drunken Irishman
(34,857 posts)Not only is he within striking distance, his biggest threat, Santorum, is finishing third. My guess is that Romney picks off a few southern states, Gingrich wins the rest and Santorum is essentially upended with zero.
Basically, Romney should have some smooth sailing to the nomination if these numbers holds.