2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumCalifornia Up for Grabs, Poll Finds, as Clinton and Sanders Battle
LOS ANGELES Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders are locked in a tight race in California, the nations most populous state and one that until recently seemed strongly in Mrs. Clintons corner, a new statewide poll has found.
The poll, released Wednesday night by the Public Policy Institute of California, showed Mrs. Clinton leading Mr. Sanders among likely voters, 46 percent to 44 percent within the margin of error. A survey by the organization in March found Mrs. Clinton with a lead of 48 percent to 41 percent over Mr. Sanders.
The survey came as both Mr. Sanders and Mrs. Clinton have stepped up their campaign appearances here in anticipation of the June 7 primary. Mr. Sanders, after initially saying he would not advertise on television here California is one of the most expensive states for television advertising, given its size and the number of media markets took to the airwaves this week.
http://mobile.nytimes.com/2016/05/27/us/politics/clinton-sanders-california-poll.html?referer=http://www.drudgereport.com/
Renew Deal
(81,869 posts)And what is the Public Policy Institute of California?
California is starting to look a lot like NY.
NWCorona
(8,541 posts)If Hillary loses California it will be very bad.
firebrand80
(2,760 posts)Then yes, I would agree
cali
(114,904 posts)auntpurl
(4,311 posts)He lost California. Didn't seem to hurt him any. Of course, in the GE the Dems shellacked the Repubs in California, as they will do this time too.
morningfog
(18,115 posts)Big difference.
auntpurl
(4,311 posts)DC is last.
Second of all, Hillary can lose California by a fairly large margin and still win.
Third, she is still following the Obama coalition which has served her well so far and was proven to be a winning strategy in 08 and 12.
Fourth, NJ is going to put her over the top before polls even close in CA.
firebrand80
(2,760 posts)DC doesn't count
Demsrule86
(68,643 posts)so no...Bernie won't be the nominee period.
Renew Deal
(81,869 posts)Demsrule86
(68,643 posts)And Bernie would need to win it by 70 points...to even come close in delegates...not going to happen... he only wants it so he can appeal to supers which won't help him anyway. Stick a fork in him...
cali
(114,904 posts)firebrand80
(2,760 posts)beachbum bob
(10,437 posts)doesn't matter either way, hillary will clinch the nomination when New Jersey counts their votes
thats the REAL MATH
NWCorona
(8,541 posts)And that's real math!
Here are the numbers:
Hillary has 1771 pledged delegates. Bernie has 1487 pledged delegates (284 fewer than Hill).
Hillary needs 612 more pledged delegates to get to 2383.
There are only 781 pledged delegates left in the remaining nine primaries:
Virgin Islands, PR, CA Mont NJ, NM, ND SD, DC
morningfog
(18,115 posts)She will not secure a majority of the pledged delegates with a NJ win. The earliest she can do that is with California.
B Calm
(28,762 posts)Take it to the bank.
Demsrule86
(68,643 posts)But I hope it is for math challenged customers...because Bernie has no shot...
B Calm
(28,762 posts)Hillary has 1771 pledged delegates. Bernie has 1487 pledged delegates (284 fewer than Hill).
Hillary needs 612 more pledged delegates to get to 2383.
There are only 781 pledged delegates left in the remaining nine primaries:
Virgin Islands, PR, CA Mont NJ, NM, ND SD, DC
Uncle Joe
(58,405 posts)Thanks for the thread, NWCorona.
Demsrule86
(68,643 posts)Really?
NWCorona
(8,541 posts)Demsrule86
(68,643 posts)NWCorona
(8,541 posts)JackRiddler
(24,979 posts)I know some people have trouble distinguishing between an actual source, the author of an article, the original publication, and the links aggregator that in this case reposted the info (that would be your Drudge Report). But it's not hard. Unless you want to intentionally confuse the matter?
SidDithers
(44,228 posts)Then you copied that link to DU, so that everyone who clicks your link gives credit to the Drudge Report for the referral.
Have I got that about right?
Sid
NWCorona
(8,541 posts)CrowCityDem
(2,348 posts)NWCorona
(8,541 posts)That is interesting.
Pops couldn't even win the popular vote in WA, for crissake.
NWCorona
(8,541 posts)Just look at Oregon.
JackRiddler
(24,979 posts)No contest, no campaigning, no interest. It's called a primary but elects no delegates, and people knew that was the case. WA should decide to have a caucus or a primary, but not both. Results meaningless.
enid602
(8,647 posts)But it did attract record turnout. Isn't he expected to do best when there's record turnout? Telling, indeed.