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silvershadow

(10,336 posts)
Sat Nov 3, 2012, 12:25 AM Nov 2012

2012 Senate Race Polls: Richard Mourdock's Plunge Dampens GOP's Majority Hopes

Starting to feel hopeful here. From HuffPo:

Two new independent polls of the Indiana Senate race show Richard Mourdock (R) losing significant ground to his opponent, Rep. Joe Donnelly (D-Ind.), in the wake of his statement claiming that pregnancies from rape are "something God intended to happen."

A Howey/DePauw University Battleground poll released Friday morning found Donnelly leading Mourdock 47 percent to 36 percent, up from a 2 point lead in September. Meanwhile, a new automated Rasmussen poll found Donnelly leading Mourdock by 3 points, up from a 5 point deficit just three weeks earlier.

Donnelly now leads Mourdock by 3.5 points in the HuffPost Pollster estimate, which is based on all available public polling, including internal polls from Mourdock's campaign that continue to show him with a narrow lead.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/11/02/2012-senate-races-polls_n_2067115.html?utm_hp_ref=politics

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2012 Senate Race Polls: Richard Mourdock's Plunge Dampens GOP's Majority Hopes (Original Post) silvershadow Nov 2012 OP
GOP was likely finished before Mourdock, but if he goes down TroyD Nov 2012 #1
If he goes down (likely), I hope he takes Pence with him. nt silvershadow Nov 2012 #5
For some reason donco Nov 2012 #2
It was something God intended to happen. SunSeeker Nov 2012 #3
Nate Silver Updated his Senate Model tonight! TroyD Nov 2012 #4
i will love to see mcconnell cry after all his efforts failed to be senate leader n/t -LOKI -BAD FOR YA Nov 2012 #6

TroyD

(4,551 posts)
1. GOP was likely finished before Mourdock, but if he goes down
Sat Nov 3, 2012, 12:28 AM
Nov 2012

It makes the GOP attempt to win back the Senate even more unlikely!

donco

(1,548 posts)
2. For some reason
Sat Nov 3, 2012, 12:33 AM
Nov 2012

I kinda like this number.leading Mourdock 47 percent Hhmm...now what is it about that bolded part that gets me feeling good?< scratches head>

TroyD

(4,551 posts)
4. Nate Silver Updated his Senate Model tonight!
Sat Nov 3, 2012, 12:39 AM
Nov 2012

Indiana (Lean Democratic)

Chance of winning

Donnelly - 68%

Mourdock - 32%

--

Projected vote share (Donnelly +2.5)

Donnelly - 50.0

Mourdock - 47.5

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

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