2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forum2012 Senate Race Polls: Richard Mourdock's Plunge Dampens GOP's Majority Hopes
Starting to feel hopeful here. From HuffPo:
Two new independent polls of the Indiana Senate race show Richard Mourdock (R) losing significant ground to his opponent, Rep. Joe Donnelly (D-Ind.), in the wake of his statement claiming that pregnancies from rape are "something God intended to happen."
A Howey/DePauw University Battleground poll released Friday morning found Donnelly leading Mourdock 47 percent to 36 percent, up from a 2 point lead in September. Meanwhile, a new automated Rasmussen poll found Donnelly leading Mourdock by 3 points, up from a 5 point deficit just three weeks earlier.
Donnelly now leads Mourdock by 3.5 points in the HuffPost Pollster estimate, which is based on all available public polling, including internal polls from Mourdock's campaign that continue to show him with a narrow lead.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/11/02/2012-senate-races-polls_n_2067115.html?utm_hp_ref=politics
TroyD
(4,551 posts)It makes the GOP attempt to win back the Senate even more unlikely!
silvershadow
(10,336 posts)donco
(1,548 posts)I kinda like this number.leading Mourdock 47 percent Hhmm...now what is it about that bolded part that gets me feeling good?< scratches head>
SunSeeker
(51,719 posts)TroyD
(4,551 posts)Indiana (Lean Democratic)
Chance of winning
Donnelly - 68%
Mourdock - 32%
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Projected vote share (Donnelly +2.5)
Donnelly - 50.0
Mourdock - 47.5
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/