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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumGOTV in Nevada (NV) Day 13. Dems lead > 60,600
11/02/12 2:00 PM EST 626,943 EV ballots cast, representing > 60% of likely voters.Democrats-- 275,554 or 44.0% percent (Dems to Reps only: 54.0%)
Republicans -234,518 or 37.4% percent (Dems to Reps only: 46.0%)
IAPs -- 116,871 or 18.6%
Democratic lead - 60,610 Overall state lead expands to 41,036 (6.5%)
Clark County (Las Vegas) - 61,056
Washoe County (Reno) - <446> (represents a Republican lead)
Day 11 totals from Nevada SoS PDF
Jon Ralston Reports
Assuming Nevada IAPs support based on polls of 53/44 in favor of Romney and remaining undecided 3% for 3rd party candidates, the numbers above would reflect:
Dems: 326,977 or 52.4%
Reps: 296,460 or 47.6%
This may be something closer to a realistic conservative estimate of the final result ratios.
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GOTV in Nevada (NV) Day 13. Dems lead > 60,600 (Original Post)
ffr
Nov 2012
OP
Dubster
(427 posts)1. Spam deleted by gkhouston (MIR Team)
tevolit
(76 posts)2. overly optimistic estimate
The title implies that the 60,000 is the statewide total.
Also, given that the DEM's will likely do less well on election day as compared to the early voting, the final estimate given of :
Dems: 326,977 or 52.4%
Reps: 296,460 or 47.6%
Is, in my opinion, an overly optimistic estimate of the final result ratio rather than a realistic conservative estimate.
Although, it probably meant the current ratio and not the final result ratio.
alcibiades_mystery
(36,437 posts)3. It's definitely not the "conservative" estimate