2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumIn 2008, over 78% of Colorado vote was early
Wow! Thus far, about 60 % of the 2008 total vote has voted early.
Flipper999
(241 posts)According to this article on The Atlantic, the pukes have a slight edge in the early voting. If there aren't many voters left on the actual election day, I don't know how we are going to pull this off.
http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2012/11/whos-really-winning-early-voting/264436/
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)She didn't look at the basic question in early voting: is each side adding to its net votes as of election day, or are they cannibalizing their election day voters? In other words, are they getting their die hards to vote early or are they getting sporadic voters to the polls?
Also read this:
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/11/01/1153415/-CO-Early-Vote-Update-conversation-with-political-press-reporter-what-it-means-w-historic-data-GOOD
That said both 2008 and 2010 Democrats trailed 5-6% points by voting registrations during this same period. In fact in 2010, I had just found an email that I sent to the Dem County Executive Director that said on October 31 Republicans carried a 37.5% turnout versus Dem's who were at 32.1%. Then in 2008 I found a spread report that had Republicans voting at a rate of 36% and Democrats at 31.8%.
The last two days are the two biggest days of voting, and that's when Democrats make up huge ground. Also, unaffiliated voters tend to break for Democrats there.
Flipper999
(241 posts)It's good to know that there is more nuance to the story then Molly Ball included.
Maximumnegro
(1,134 posts)polling has Obama ahead by 2 or greater for CO and increasing. It's not just straight D and R in CO.
ethellamyers
(20 posts)in Jefferson county in CO. (Swing county) There was a pretty steady line of cars there. I'm seeing a lot more Obama signs and bumper stickers in this last week.
jenw2
(374 posts)That's why the conservatives here in WA wanted to not allow us to vote in person on voting day. It gives them more of a chance to not only throw our votes away, but also a chance to not mail us a ballot in the first place. This year in King County, the voting fraud is massive.