Election Forecast Summaries: 11/2 (morning)
If this series is helpful to you, please K&R! 
From now until the election I'll post once or twice a day with these summaries. "p(RE)" means "probability of re-election," although I've now gone to a standard percentage-based unit. "unch" means unchanged from last report.
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Election Projection: O 290 (unch)
University of Illinois U-C: O 296.7 (+2.3); p(RE)=99.4% (+1.5%)
Electoral-vote.com: O 281, R 215, T 42 (O-18, R+9, T+9)
Huffington Post: O 259, R 191, T 88 (O-18, R-15, T+33)
TPM/PollTracker: O 285, R 191, T 62 (unch)
FiveThirtyEight: O 303.4 (unch); p(RE)=80.9% (unch)
Princeton: O 318 (O+3); p(RE)=97%, 99.3% (+1, +0.3%)
DeSart/Holbrook: O 281 (unch); p(RE)=87.05% (+0.21%)[/font]
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...And Just For Laughs, UnSkewedPolls: O 179, R 359 (unch from 10/25) [/font] which means my bet with Dean Chambers is presently worth $2,488!
= new reply since forum marked as read
He's taking into account recent political trends, the last four election results, demographic changes, and the phases of the moon for all I know. Here, for lols, is his current official projection map.
As in they have a screw loose.
