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WI_DEM

(33,497 posts)
Fri Nov 2, 2012, 09:39 AM Nov 2012

Scott Rasmussen: We just can't predict who will win 48-48 in tracker

(Was Romney +2 yesterday and for several days prior to that)

Election 2012 has had few surprises. So it's somewhat surprising that heading into the final weekend of the election season, we are unable to confidently project who is likely to win the White House.

From the beginning of the year to today, the fundamentals suggested the presidential election would be close. The president's job approval, which is a good predictor of his ultimate share of the vote, has stayed in a range of 47% to 50% all year. That, by itself, virtually guarantees a close election. On the Friday before Election Day, the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll showed the race tied at 48% for Obama and 48% for Romney.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/political_commentary/commentary_by_scott_rasmussen/an_unpredictable_end_to_a_very_predictable_election

9 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Scott Rasmussen: We just can't predict who will win 48-48 in tracker (Original Post) WI_DEM Nov 2012 OP
So we no longer have an electoral college? mucifer Nov 2012 #1
^^THIS^^ longship Nov 2012 #4
he'll adjust Tues. morning BainsBane Nov 2012 #2
Dude jumped the shark. sadbear Nov 2012 #3
Any idea how the freepers are taking it outsideworld Nov 2012 #5
They are gettin nervous... jcgoldie Nov 2012 #8
Lol..ha reality is sinking it.i love the smell of freeper panick outsideworld Nov 2012 #9
This means he just wont. He has been putting out tied polls or Romney leads for months. Third Doctor Nov 2012 #6
(R)assmussen is an idiot. A pollster who doesn't understand the Electoral College? progressivebydesign Nov 2012 #7

sadbear

(4,340 posts)
3. Dude jumped the shark.
Fri Nov 2, 2012, 09:40 AM
Nov 2012

Why anyone other than fox news and AM radio give him any credibility is beyond me.

jcgoldie

(11,631 posts)
8. They are gettin nervous...
Fri Nov 2, 2012, 11:34 AM
Nov 2012

The more realistic of the bunch are beginning to console themselves with how weak O's mandate will be and vowing to fight on for their freedom against their communist oppressors

Third Doctor

(1,574 posts)
6. This means he just wont. He has been putting out tied polls or Romney leads for months.
Fri Nov 2, 2012, 11:15 AM
Nov 2012

It complete defiance of every other polls.

progressivebydesign

(19,458 posts)
7. (R)assmussen is an idiot. A pollster who doesn't understand the Electoral College?
Fri Nov 2, 2012, 11:24 AM
Nov 2012

He seems to be lost in the Likely Voter and Popular Vote model. What an idiot...

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