11/1 Early Voting round up:Way up NV/IA/FL Good news CO/NC

[grantcart]

Edited to add this update on Florida

http://www.tampabay.com/blogs/the-buzz-florida-politics/content/democrats-crushing-republicans-sporadic-fla-voters-early-voting#comments

A trusted Democratic operative sent us some data on the early and absentee ballot vote in Florida so far to make the point that Barack Obama is crushing Mitt Romney when it comes to banking the votes of sporadic and infrequent voters before election day. So far more than 3 million Floridians have cast a ballot by absentee, mail-in ballot or in-person early vote ballot. Democrats lead by more than 60,000 votes, but it's the unlikely voter numbers that jump out:

Nevada

FightingRegistrar at DailyKos

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/11/02/1154098/-Nevada-Early-Voting-Update-11-1-12

For these reports, I will only be tracking Clark County and Washoe County. Together, they account for just shy of 90% of all registered voters in Nevada.

First let's start with the numbers from Clark County:

Here are the cumulative early voting figures:

Dems 187,043 (48.15%)
Reps 126,970 (32.69%)
Inds 74,443 (19.16%)

TOTAL 388,456

Here are the additional early ballots cast since the last daily report:

Dems +15,691
Reps +9,976
Inds +6,952

Our awesome trend continues! Three reports ago, Republicans were behind Democrats only 1,618 in the early vote count on Monday. Two reports ago, we led Republicans by about 3,000 ballots. Yesterday, we led by over 4,000. And in today's report, we lead by over 5,700 ballots! In fact, this is the first day in a long time that the Democratic percentage stayed the same among cumulative early votes and the Republican percentage went down. Yay!!!

Now, here are the cumulative figures, including mail-in ballots:

Dems 206,532 (47.65%)
Reps 145,392 (33.54%)
Inds 81,499 (18.80%)

TOTAL 433,423

As of this report, 50.88% of the 851,803 active voters in Clark County have voted. 2012 turnout among early voters is still running higher than in 2008.

Also from SurveyUSA Obama 50 Romney 46

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/11/01/1153668/-Survey-USA-Obama-widens-lead-50-46

Iowa

also from FightingRegistrar


http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/11/01/1153637/-Iowa-Early-Voting-Update-11-1-12
Here are the cumulative numbers for the absentee ballot requests:

Dems 291,022 (43.09%)
Reps 208,374 (30.85%)
Inds 175,142 (25.93%)
Oth 864 (negligible)

TOTAL 675,402

Here are the new ballot requests since the last report:

Dems +5,170
Reps +4,693
Inds +4,872

Absentee ballot requests going down a bit in general as we get closer to election day.

And now, here are the cumulative numbers for actual ballots cast:

Dems 241,430 (43.31%)
Reps 179,675 (32.23%)
Inds 135,547 (24.32%)
Oth 680 (negligible)

TOTAL 557,432

Colorado

from RWN at DailyKos

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/11/01/1153415/-CO-Early-Vote-Update-conversation-with-political-press-reporter-what-it-means-w-historic-data-GOOD

As I said before I do ex-officio early and post election data analysis for our local Democratic Party and have been compiling early vote election returns since 2008. I wish I had maintained better archives but I am recompiling it as I go along, (funny I feel like a squirrel who finds his winter stash as he forgot about it.)

. . .

That said both 2008 and 2010 Democrats trailed 5-6% points by voting registrations during this same period. In fact in 2010, I had just found an email that I sent to the Dem County Executive Director that said on October 31 Republicans carried a 37.5% turnout versus Dem's who were at 32.1%. Then in 2008 I found a spread report that had Republicans voting at a rate of 36% and Democrats at 31.8%.

. . .

This equates to 38.6% for active Republicans, 35.6% for active Democratic and 25.97% for active Unaffiliated registrants but that was Monday's numbers. Tuesday's again the Democrats moved up to 40.6% against Republicans at 42.1% and Unaffiliated voting at a rate of 30%.

<grantcart: The author makes a long detailed explanation that the middle breaks for the Democrats and before the Republicans have been competitive if they have 5% or more advantage over Democrats. That margin is now under 3%>

Florida

Best figures from the AP

Florida

Votes: 2.7 million

Democrats: 43 percent

Republicans: 41 percent


Read more: http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1112/83176.html#ixzz2B2rOKmvp

North Carolina

from MattTX at DailyKos

Results from NC flat, assumed that Sandy had some effect. Continue to have a 100,000 vote lead.

http://matttx.dailykos.com/blog/MattTX

[ffr]

1. Cool!

[joshcryer]

2. Excellent reporting grantcart!

[jumptheshadow]

3. Very good news

Grantcart, thank you for your informative posts.

[flamingdem]

4. K&R

yawn it's late..

[-LOKI -BAD FOR YA]

5. keep up the good work,the numbers out of nc are great,we will win in nc nt

[LaToJapan]

6. Democrats crushing Republicans on sporadic Fla voters in early voting

Of the nearly 414,000 Floridians who did not vote in the last three general elections, Democrats have an advantage of more than 53,000 votes. Of the more than 482,000 Floridians who have only voted in one of the last three general elections, Democrats lead by more than 77,000 - a total of more than 132,000.

So what does this mean?

http://www.tampabay.com/blogs/the-buzz-florida-politics/content/democrats-crushing-republicans-sporadic-fla-voters-early-voting#comments

[VirginiaTarheel]

7. Awesome News

[grantcart]

9. great

[grantcart]

8. kick

[grantcart]

10. kick