Election Forecast Summaries: 11/1 (evening)
I've removed Votamatic from this list since, while it's nominally updated, the projection appears to be static. Unless I hear otherwise, I'll regard their final projection as O 332, R 206.
If you find this series of posts helpful, please K&R!
From now until the election I'll post once or twice a day with these summaries. "p(RE)" means "probability of re-election," although I've now gone to a standard percentage-based unit. "unch" means unchanged from last report.
[font color="blue"]
Election Projection: O 290 (unch)
University of Illinois U-C: O 296.7 (+2.3); p(RE)=99.4% (+1.5%)
Electoral-vote.com: O 299, R 206, T 33 (unch)
Huffington Post: O 277, R 206, T 55 (unch)
TPM/PollTracker: O 285, R 191, T 62 (unch)
FiveThirtyEight: O 303.4 (+3); p(RE)=80.9% (+1.9%)
Princeton: O 315 (O-1); p(RE)=96%, 99.0% (+0, -0.1%)
DeSart/Holbrook: O 281 (unch); p(RE)=86.84% (unch)[/font]
[font color="red"]
...And Just For Laughs, UnSkewedPolls: O 179, R 359 (unch from 10/25) [/font] which means my bet with Dean Chambers is presently worth $2,488!
