Info On the Top 7 Political Prognosticators

[Doctor Jack]

Found this on facebook tonight. It is from Mother Jones and it gives a brief bio of the top 7 political prognosticators and their track records. Its pretty good if you are unfamiliar with the names being thrown around here everyday.

1. Nate Silver

The New York Times' statistics big shot has established himself as the gold standard for electoral prognostication. Romney fans are very upset with him for saying Obama has a strong chance of winning (and for being a sissy-man or something). Nail-biting Obama supporters hit his site for daily (or hourly) doses of reassurance. Both sides tend to ignore that Silver's model doesn't write off possibility of a Romney win.

Track record: Silver has built his reputation on the accuracy of his "Political Calculus": In 2008, his model correctly predicted the electoral outcome in 49 of 50 states, and during the 2010 midterms, his prediction was dead-on in forecasting a Republican sweep

http://www.motherjones.com/mojo/2012/11/election-predictors-obama-romney

[Mayberry Machiavelli]

1. Aw man they didn't include the Unskewed Polls guy!

[TomCADem]

2. Nice Article On Election Quants Versus Pundits...

Very interesting.