2016 Postmortem

Alfresco

(1,698 posts) Thu May 19, 2016, 05:52 AM May 2016

http://predictwise.com/politics/2016-president-winner#Link6

Key data on this page includes: Prediction Markets (Betfair, PredictIt, Hypermind), Polling (HuffPost Pollster), Bookie (OddsChecker).

5 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Today's PredictWise - 2016 President – Winner - Hillary 72% - Mar-a-Lago Madman 26% (Original Post) Alfresco May 2016 OP

It dropped down to 68% last night, lowest in two months. thesquanderer May 2016 #1

Very clever. You know, you would be an asset to his campaign. Alfresco May 2016 #3

Hillary 67%, Donald 33% as of today. thesquanderer May 2016 #4

Predictive markets are small and easily influence by individuals Godhumor May 2016 #5

(11,990 posts)

1. It dropped down to 68% last night, lowest in two months.

Fri May 20, 2016, 10:28 PM

May 2016

I wonder what that was about.

(12,685 posts)

2. The nickname. He can turn it around and say that yes he is mad, mad and fed up with

Fri May 20, 2016, 10:34 PM

May 2016

what is happening to this country, and he thinks a lot of Americans feel the same way...

(1,698 posts)

3. Very clever. You know, you would be an asset to his campaign.

Sat May 21, 2016, 02:43 PM

May 2016

(11,990 posts)

4. Hillary 67%, Donald 33% as of today.

Mon May 23, 2016, 09:10 AM

May 2016

Still good odds, but I don't like the direction! Too soon to really call it a trend, though. There are always fluctuations...

(6,437 posts)

5. Predictive markets are small and easily influence by individuals

Mon May 23, 2016, 09:17 AM

May 2016

From the pattern, it looks like someone is bulk buying in tranches.