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2016 Postmortem

charlyvi

(6,537 posts) Thu Nov 1, 2012, 10:28 PM Nov 2012

0

Polling wizards.....

Can Romney win without Virginia?

7 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Polling wizards..... (Original Post) charlyvi Nov 2012 OP

Only if he wins Ohio. TexasCPA Nov 2012 #1

So he has to win one or the other? n/t charlyvi Nov 2012 #2

Not exactly. He can't win without OH, even if he wins VA unless morningfog Nov 2012 #3

Thanks. Fascinating. charlyvi Nov 2012 #5

Not unless he takes OH, too. morningfog Nov 2012 #4

Short answer: yes Proud Public Servant Nov 2012 #6

the most reasonable scenario for Romney w/o Virginia: woolldog Nov 2012 #7

TexasCPA

(527 posts)

1. Only if he wins Ohio.

Reply to charlyvi (Original post)

Thu Nov 1, 2012, 10:29 PM

Nov 2012

charlyvi

(6,537 posts)

2. So he has to win one or the other? n/t

Reply to TexasCPA (Reply #1)

Thu Nov 1, 2012, 10:30 PM

Nov 2012

morningfog

(18,115 posts)

3. Not exactly. He can't win without OH, even if he wins VA unless

Reply to charlyvi (Reply #2)

Thu Nov 1, 2012, 10:36 PM

Nov 2012

he also wins NV, CO, NC, FL and flips IA for a 269-269 tie or WI for a win.

All this is to say, he can't realistically win without OH. Without OH, it is all hail mary's and fat chances.

charlyvi

(6,537 posts)

5. Thanks. Fascinating.

Reply to morningfog (Reply #3)

Thu Nov 1, 2012, 10:38 PM

Nov 2012

I think he's going to lose.

morningfog

(18,115 posts)

4. Not unless he takes OH, too.

Reply to charlyvi (Original post)

Thu Nov 1, 2012, 10:37 PM

Nov 2012

Proud Public Servant

(2,097 posts)

6. Short answer: yes

Reply to charlyvi (Original post)

Thu Nov 1, 2012, 11:01 PM

Nov 2012

Barring a very big surprise, Obama has 263 votes in the bag: everything on the east coast from DC north; the west coast; MI, IL, WI, MN and IA in the midwest; and NV and NM in the west. So either OH, VA, or CO puts him over the top; the rest is gravy.

woolldog

(8,791 posts)

7. the most reasonable scenario for Romney w/o Virginia:

Reply to charlyvi (Original post)

Fri Nov 2, 2012, 12:14 AM

Nov 2012

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