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aaaaaa5a

(4,667 posts)
Thu Nov 1, 2012, 08:56 PM Nov 2012

New Poll Virginia: Reuters Ipsos-Obama 49%/Romney 44%



http://www.scribd.com/doc/111855196/2012-Reuters-Ipsos-State-Polling-11-01-12


Brand new poll. Obama +5 in Virginia

Poll was apparently conducted from Oct. 31 to Nov. 1st (Today) and released tonight.

GOTV will be the key. Among registered voters Obama leads 54-37.

Plenty of polling info for other states included in link.

Ohio
Obama-48%
Romney-45%


Florida
Obama-48%
Romney-46%

Colorado
Obama-46%
Romney-47%



There is just no way Romney can win. There are to many options for Obama to get to 270.

32 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
New Poll Virginia: Reuters Ipsos-Obama 49%/Romney 44% (Original Post) aaaaaa5a Nov 2012 OP
What great news! BlueState Nov 2012 #1
And now . . . abumbyanyothername Nov 2012 #23
Huge VirginiaTarheel Nov 2012 #2
That's disaster for Romney alcibiades_mystery Nov 2012 #3
Very Nice!! Thrill Nov 2012 #4
It does seem that Romney has been so focused on Ohio Doctor Jack Nov 2012 #5
It was never that close. abumbyanyothername Nov 2012 #6
Thank you! forestpath Nov 2012 #7
Ohio is 48 tbennett76 Nov 2012 #8
Thank for the help. aaaaaa5a Nov 2012 #11
mitt has jumped the shark nt barnabas63 Nov 2012 #9
OK Must be doing tbennett76 Nov 2012 #10
Reuters/Ipsos has been fairly generous to Obama in its polling this year TroyD Nov 2012 #12
How do you know that? By what measure? DCBob Nov 2012 #16
Yesssssssssss...Kaine ahead too :D blazeKing Nov 2012 #13
Obama is winning independents in VA 55-18!? WI_DEM Nov 2012 #14
Up 67/32 in absentee voting blazeKing Nov 2012 #15
cool. this covers christies endorsemsnt. mgcgulfcoast Nov 2012 #17
If those are accurate Robme is toast. DCBob Nov 2012 #18
Excellent news. Too bad the cynics are already crashing the party. nt Comrade_McKenzie Nov 2012 #19
Virginia is 54-37 among RVs, Obama wins 55-18 among Independents! ashtonelijah Nov 2012 #20
BOOYA BITCHES!!! budkin Nov 2012 #21
Is there An JiminyJominy Nov 2012 #22
Great Numbers. Would love to see better results in CO, but *love* that Obama's up in VA, OH and FL. berni_mccoy Nov 2012 #24
Online polls tend to favor Obama TexasCPA Nov 2012 #25
I believe online polls were just as accurate as standard polling in 2008. nt aaaaaa5a Nov 2012 #27
Yougov was more accurate then many standard and automated polls in 2010. Jennicut Nov 2012 #30
Oh JiminyJominy Nov 2012 #26
Obama up 5 in VA? Cali_Democrat Nov 2012 #28
This is SLCLiberal Nov 2012 #29
When they announce Virginia blue, that's when I'm literally on the floor laughing uncontrollably. lindysalsagal Nov 2012 #31
I cannot wait to see what Joe Scarborough looks like withe a moustache!! nt PsychProfessor Nov 2012 #32

BlueState

(642 posts)
1. What great news!
Thu Nov 1, 2012, 08:58 PM
Nov 2012

Do I hear... off in the distance... yes it's becoming clear. That is a fat lady singing!!!

 

alcibiades_mystery

(36,437 posts)
3. That's disaster for Romney
Thu Nov 1, 2012, 08:59 PM
Nov 2012

You wonder why he's desperately trying to pull PA?

His entire front is collapsing.

Doctor Jack

(3,072 posts)
5. It does seem that Romney has been so focused on Ohio
Thu Nov 1, 2012, 09:00 PM
Nov 2012

That he forgot to watch his back in Virginia.

Two things I have learned about Mitt Romney this year

1. He performs very poorly under pressure

2. He is really bad at multitasking.

He seems to have an OCD like focus on one thing at a time and can't see the big picture.

aaaaaa5a

(4,667 posts)
11. Thank for the help.
Thu Nov 1, 2012, 09:09 PM
Nov 2012



Its hard going back and forth between 2 sites while typing numbers sometimes.


Just to clarify.

Virginia O+5
Ohio O+3
Florida O+2

And there are only 4 days to go.

Romney must win all 3 states or the election is over.
 

tbennett76

(223 posts)
10. OK Must be doing
Thu Nov 1, 2012, 09:08 PM
Nov 2012

daily tracking says 47 OH, you will have a hard time making me believe he is 17 pts up with reg voters in VA. And plus 5 in VA vs 2 in OH makes zero sense. Probably a bunk poll.

TroyD

(4,551 posts)
12. Reuters/Ipsos has been fairly generous to Obama in its polling this year
Thu Nov 1, 2012, 09:09 PM
Nov 2012

So the actual margin may be a little narrower, but it is certainly a good sign that Obama seems to be rebounding back to his previous levels of support in Virginia prior to the first debate. There had been a decline in October, but prior to that Virginia had been one of Obama's best swing states this year.

There have now been several polls within the past week showing Obama ahead or tied in Virginia.

Good sign. Obama actually won Virginia in 2008 by more than he won Ohio, so perhaps that will be the case again in 2012.

DCBob

(24,689 posts)
16. How do you know that? By what measure?
Thu Nov 1, 2012, 09:14 PM
Nov 2012

Arent you the same person that posts Rasmussen repeatedly as if its credible?

JiminyJominy

(340 posts)
22. Is there An
Thu Nov 1, 2012, 09:22 PM
Nov 2012

Oversampling of Dems in this poll?

I have a hard time reading these out...all help appreciated.

Jennicut

(25,415 posts)
30. Yougov was more accurate then many standard and automated polls in 2010.
Thu Nov 1, 2012, 11:53 PM
Nov 2012

But Reuters does have some strange LV #'s that I am not sure I believe. But the plus 4 for Obama is the same as Wash Post.

lindysalsagal

(20,692 posts)
31. When they announce Virginia blue, that's when I'm literally on the floor laughing uncontrollably.
Fri Nov 2, 2012, 04:42 PM
Nov 2012

And at that point, you already know the election is over. Obama can win if he gets Virginia, even without BOTH Florida and Ohio. He doesn't even need Colorado, if he gets virginia.

Awesome!!!!

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