2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumO +9 in Wisconsin... Not toss up at all.
http://www.snc.edu/sri/docs/2012/2012wisconsinsurvey.pdfInternal numbers are great too.
O beats R on every individual issue, except 2, one of which is, laughably, bringing change to DC. Rommers, the candidate of change, in one sense very true of course.
Cheers
Fringe
(175 posts)If you click on, "See all Wisconsin..." It's the 12th down.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/wi/wisconsin_mccain_vs_obama-549.html#polls
central scrutinizer
(11,652 posts)it would be great to bounce him clear out of Washington.
morningfog
(18,115 posts)BlueDemKev
(3,003 posts)And, assuming Nevada votes for Obama also, we'll be at 253 electoral votes.
fujiyama
(15,185 posts)Obama won Wisconsin by an insane margin in '08 (like 15 points). The same goes with both MI (~16) and PA (~12), which is why none of those are really in play. Iowa was also around 9. Nevada was in the double digits too.
Ohio was fairly close (~5). He actually won VA by a larger margin (~6 and I think the margin he won it by was closest to the national popular vote margin). I'll be honest, I'm disappointed CO is so close. I thought we'd see more consistent leads, but Hispanics may be undercounted. Plus there are a lot of crazies outside of the Denver metro area. It's hard to say how it will go. The wins in '10 are the reason I think we have a good shot there still.
buckyblue
(24 posts)Registered Voters, not Likely Voters, are the people I am interested in hearing from.
I am very picky with polls. I realize this shows good stuff for our President, which is what I expect from WI.
Let's hope WI stays blue.