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O +9 in Wisconsin... Not toss up at all. (Original Post) blue-kite Nov 2012 OP
Excellent, that poll was pretty much right on the money in 2008. Fringe Nov 2012 #1
any word on how the lying' king is doing? central scrutinizer Nov 2012 #2
It never was. morningfog Nov 2012 #3
Excellent. Add Wisconsin to our Column. BlueDemKev Nov 2012 #4
Romney's only potential path is still through Ohio fujiyama Nov 2012 #5
Likely Voters... buckyblue Nov 2012 #6

BlueDemKev

(3,003 posts)
4. Excellent. Add Wisconsin to our Column.
Thu Nov 1, 2012, 10:39 PM
Nov 2012

And, assuming Nevada votes for Obama also, we'll be at 253 electoral votes.

fujiyama

(15,185 posts)
5. Romney's only potential path is still through Ohio
Thu Nov 1, 2012, 11:15 PM
Nov 2012

Obama won Wisconsin by an insane margin in '08 (like 15 points). The same goes with both MI (~16) and PA (~12), which is why none of those are really in play. Iowa was also around 9. Nevada was in the double digits too.

Ohio was fairly close (~5). He actually won VA by a larger margin (~6 and I think the margin he won it by was closest to the national popular vote margin). I'll be honest, I'm disappointed CO is so close. I thought we'd see more consistent leads, but Hispanics may be undercounted. Plus there are a lot of crazies outside of the Denver metro area. It's hard to say how it will go. The wins in '10 are the reason I think we have a good shot there still.

 

buckyblue

(24 posts)
6. Likely Voters...
Thu Nov 1, 2012, 11:33 PM
Nov 2012

Registered Voters, not Likely Voters, are the people I am interested in hearing from.

I am very picky with polls. I realize this shows good stuff for our President, which is what I expect from WI.

Let's hope WI stays blue.

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