2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumIn Shock Poll, Sanders Leads Trump In Georgia
A Democratic friend called to make sure I saw the great news that likely Democratic Hillary Clinton had pulled to within 4 percentage points of presumptive Republican nominee Donald Trump in Georgia, according to a poll from The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. My friend was right. That poll did show Trump with 45 percent and Clinton with 41 percent. It is good news that Clinton could be poised to make a bid to win Georgia's electoral votes.
And then, looking deeper at The Atlanta Journal-Constitution poll, I saw something even more interesting indeed fascinating and shocking. The poll found Sen. Bernie Sanders (Vt.) defeating Trump outright, with Sanders getting 47 percent and Trump lagging behind with only 42 percent! According to this new and highly reputable poll, Sanders could well be the favorite to win Georgia's electoral votes in a Trump vs. Sanders race, until another poll provides different results, which may or may not happen.
There are two key points behind this shocking Georgia poll. The first is that in this poll of Georgians, Sanders runs 9 points stronger than Clinton in a match-up against Trump, a pattern that has been repeated in many other states. The second key point is that Sanders runs far stronger than Trump in general election match-up polling nationally, almost always beating Trump by landslide double-digit margins.
All Democrats and serious political commentators should give far more attention and focus to why almost all polling suggests that Sanders would defeat Trump by landslide margins (and also have defeated the other Republican candidates formerly running, almost all by powerfully large margins).
One reason Sanders runs stronger than Clinton against Republicans, and far stronger than Republican opponents in match-up polling, is that he is seen as more authentic, honorable, and sincere than any GOP opponent.
more...
http://thehill.com/blogs/pundits-blog/presidential-campaign/280345-in-shock-poll-sanders-leads-trump-in-georgia
lewebley3
(3,412 posts)SheenaR
(2,052 posts)I don't get it. He is pushing an agenda for the middle class. He consistently reminds his audience that this is about them. Where is this ego and lust for fame I read about so frequently here? Serious question and I would love to hear your opinion without getting into a pissing contest.
azurnoir
(45,850 posts)where would a certain candidates alma mater Walmart get it's labor supply from?
SheenaR
(2,052 posts)Sanders would destroy Trump.
But. but... not vetted?
They could put him in a picture with Hugo Chavez and it won't match what we will have on Trump
Trust Buster
(7,299 posts)NWCorona
(8,541 posts)MineralMan
(146,317 posts)NWCorona
(8,541 posts)I will admit I haven't looked at the methodology yet.
SheenaR
(2,052 posts)Shock poll that you rec'd
http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251761632
Shock poll that you rec'd
Seems like you actually know what it is.
NWCorona
(8,541 posts)If this trend continues with Hillary sliding against trump with Bernie holding if not gaining. Superdelegates will notice. That's unless they are willing to have trump as president.
dana_b
(11,546 posts)Georgia.
And people STILL stick by her. Wow. smdh
BeyondGeography
(39,374 posts)SheenaR
(2,052 posts)And if we had a Lee Atwater Mike would have held that lead.
He wanted to remain out of the mud. That didnt work
BeyondGeography
(39,374 posts)jzodda
(2,124 posts)All it says is that the people of Georgia don't really know Sanders yet. Clinton won that state a long time ago and early in the primary process.
There has been little to no negative advertising being run on Bernie there so people have a wide open opinion.
I find it hard to believe that the white voters of Georgia will flock to Sanders once they find out about his new deal type policy positions.
Trump and the R's will hammer away at the conservative electorate. I don't think he can win Georgia. On the other hand with very high turnout by minorities along with unhappy evangelicals staying home in disgust over Trump? I think HRC has a shot there.
Dawgs
(14,755 posts)I see 20 bumper stickers to every one for Hillary.
And, obviously you don't, but ALL of his "new deal policies" are already very popular with Americans and Republicans.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2015/06/12/bernie-sanders-says-americans-back-his-agenda-and-hes-mostly-right/
I support new deal policies. I don't know how its "obvious" that I don't but I stand by what I said.
Sanders would not win there.
Clinton will most likely NOT win there either.