After tonight, Bernie's path has grown steeper, needing to win the remaining contests with 67.5%

[LuvLoogie]

Last edited Wed May 18, 2016, 02:24 AM - Edit history (1)

Tonight, Hillary will have won 54 pledged delegates for a total of 1771. She needs 255 to get to 2026.

Bernie will have won 62 pledged delegates for a total of 1499. He needs 527 to get to 2026.

There are 781 pledged delegates left to allocate.

These are the remaining contests and their pledged delegate allocations:

JUNE 4 Virgin Islands 7

JUNE 5 Puerto Rico 60

JUNE 7 California 475
Montana 21
New Jersey 126
New Mexico 34
South Dakota 20
North Dakota 18

JUNE 14 DC 20


Edited to add one more delegate from Oregon for Hillary.

Edited back

[SFnomad]

1. If you use #BernieMath, he has MORE paths to victory now!!!!! n/t

[LuvLoogie]

3. He ended April needing 30 point wins. Now he needs 35 point wins going into June.

[SFnomad]

5. I was being sarcastic ... I really didn't think I needed a tag on the post n/t

[LuvLoogie]

6. Oh I know you were! I wasn't trying to correct you. Just directly conversing.

[SFnomad]

7. hehehe ... ok, no worries

[Dawson Leery]

4. kick

[BainsBane]

8. I'm amazed at the results.

That she actually won Kentucky and is losing by only 5-6 points in OR is stunning. The demographics of both states favor Sanders. He us underperforming compared to comparable states earlier in the campaign.

[Garrett78]

10. I wouldn't say amazed, but...

Sanders would have won by larger margins earlier in the campaign. I think his campaign has lost some steam as more and more people accept that Clinton will be the nominee. Clinton didn't even campaign in Oregon.

[Fla Dem]

29. Also as more people get to really know him they have become disillusioned with him.

[QC]

17. She won Kentucky 65.48% - 29.92% in 2008. n/t

[Demsrule86]

18. Right

And she is running against a White guy this time...Also, Bernie now loves coal. The fact is he needed blowouts, and he didn't get them. His fantasy about winning California big is just that a fantasy.

[Adrahil]

20. Yeah, it's a harsh reality, I'm afraid. Same for WV. NT

[Demsrule86]

34. Feel the Bern...delusion.

At some point, the money will run out especially after that speech yesterday.

[Fla Dem]

30. ^^^This^^^

[youceyec]

9. .

Bernie is letting ego get in the way. He needs to drop out now not later. At this point he is distracting Democratic party. All focus should be on gop , not each other. That sideshows his supporters pulled in NV is even more reason to drop out.

[joshcryer]

11. Proportional delegation really is hard to overcome, as we continue to see.

Thanks Loogie.

[Garrett78]

14. But Clinton's lead would be even bigger if not for proportional allocation.

If every primary/caucus was winner-take-all, as many of the Republican contests are, Clinton would have an even more insurmountable lead.

[joshcryer]

15. Fair point.

[yardwork]

23. Any way you look at it, Hillary is winning.

Hillary has won many more pledged delegates, reflecting the votes of the people. She is way ahead in the popular vote. If Democratic primaries were winner take all, she would be even further ahead.

[AZ Progressive]

12. Bite me. This is not just a presidential campaign you know...

[firebrand80]

21. Move the goalposts wherever you'd like nt

[LuvLoogie]

38. Ha! It's also poll dance! Bite.....this...

[alice mauna]

13. Why are you so eager to tell us

that the person who is the most progressive candidate we've seen in our lifetimes, the most caring (and not fake caring either) and encouraging unity among racial groups, honoring Native Americans, etc. is going to have a steep hill to climb?

[joshcryer]

16. Erm, Loogie has done this after every race.

They barely even editorialize, just post the math. I don't know why people are being so hard on them. It's really rude.

[Demsrule86]

19. Sorry I don't buy any of the good stuff about Bernie anymore.

He was ok with Democratic women being called filthy names and threatened. That says a great deal about his character or lack thereof.He is just fine it seems with helping Trump win even though we would lose Roe V Wade...nope Bernie is not the person I once thought he was.

[yardwork]

24. I disagree that Bernie is progressive or caring.

I thought that about him at first, but now I think he's an arrogant jerk. He's not encouraging unity at all.

And the fact that so many of Bernie's supporters are offended by objective facts shows something rotten about his campaign.

[LuvLoogie]

39. I do it so I can check the math against what the politicians

are telling me.

When someone wants you to join and help fund their expedition to a gold claim at the South Pole, the only thing keeping you from ending up a stiff on the ice is math.

[B Calm]

22. and yet she continues her losing streak.

[yardwork]

25. Thank you for your posts.

[LuvLoogie]

40. You're welcome. Thank you.

[DCBob]

27. Its so steep its almost vertical!

He has no chance. Its over.. its been over. Time to move on the general.

[Garrett78]

35. Given that Clinton will definitely win New Jersey and DC...

...and possibly CA, it's entirely possible that her lead heading into the convention will be greater than it is now. It certainly won't be significantly smaller.

[SidDithers]

28. DU rec...

I just posted the same numbers, but didn't see your post.



Sid

[ucrdem]

36. Include the superdelegates and it rises to 90%

A very steep path indeed.