2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumNew Poll CO:Reuters-Romney 46%/Obama 45% FL:Romney 47%/Obama 47%
Colorado is a must win for Romney without Ohio. This state is too close to call and likely could be the closest of the true battleground states. Remember the Senate race of 2010. Like in Nevada, the hispanic vote is heavily undercounted. If Obama is even in Colorado, I think he wins it on Tuesday.
http://polltracker.talkingpointsmemo.com/polls/5092c598ebcabf36b6000075
Polls are coming in fast.
Florida
Obama 47%
Romney 47%
Remember when Florida was suppose to be done deal for Romney? If Obama wins Florida, nothing, not even Ohio will matter.
http://polltracker.talkingpointsmemo.com/polls/5092c50eebcabf70a900002b
Dawgs
(14,755 posts)WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)Clinton only won It In 1992 because of Perot.It was only In early 2000's It started trending to swing state.
2000 Gore lost by 15 and In 2004 Kerry lost by 8 but the Selzer brothers were elected to senbate and house that year,and democrats
made gains that year In Statehouses before taking back governorship In 2006.
The hIspanic vote Is underpolled.Obama will win.
PPP has Obama up by 4 and Obama winning Independents In CO.
meadowlark5
(2,795 posts)I would think the youth vote would be out in force to get the marijuana ballot measure passed and most youth favor Obama. But there are A LOT of conservatives and evangelicals in this state. I hope we can pull it out and not let the liar win Colorado.
Floyd_Gondolli
(1,277 posts)Personally I've always suspected it is just posturing to look good before the election that will yield to a more reasonable policy in a second term.
LeftInTX
(25,335 posts)Heard that on Current TV the other night.
TexasCPA
(527 posts)bushisanidiot
(8,064 posts)and I have a strong feeling that AZ is going to be much closer than anyone anticipated.
McCain isn't on the ballot this time, so expect AZ to be closer than in '08 for sure.
McCain only won by 8.5 points. I expect romney to win there by about 2 points.
AZ will be the newest of the swing states.
MSMITH33156
(879 posts)with their numbers, in my opinion. Even in the polls that show Obama ahead, the number of people that are undecided/not counted is way too high for this late in the election cycle.