Does anyone have stats on likely "switch" voters?

[Charlotte Little]

I wish I could find reliable statistics/assumptions/predictions for those voters who identify themselves as Republicans and who will vote for their party down ticket, but who will vote for Obama based on their deep mistrust of Romney.

I'm sure there is an opposite effect with some "switch" Democrats (sadly), but given how Romney's campaign has been such a cluster-fuck of major fucked proportion, I believe far less so.

Anyone care to expound or have a link/article/website/info?

My fantasy (wish, prayer, hope) is that the moderate, smart republicans in this country, the ones who want nothing to do with the Tea-bagger RWNJs, will vote for Obama. They may be the silent minority in their party, and they may be the ones to push Obama over the top. (again - my fantasy, so please don't blast me for being naive)

[SheilaT]

1. My guess is that the "switch" voters

are pretty much a wash.

How people register is based on lots of things. Some people remain registered in the party of their parents and grandparents, even though they themselves always vote for the other party.

In places where one party dominates, many voters will register with that party so as to be able to vote in the primary, even though in the general election they will vote for the other party.

Some people (and I used to be this way) will adamantly register as an independent, even when voting mainly for one party.

All of this is simply based on having lived in several different states and having voted quite regularly since 1976. I have no idea if anyone out there has done any research on this. And if they did, I strongly suspect that whatever results they get would be of short-lived validity.