Rove: Romney's Going to Win a Squeaker

[Tony_FLADEM]

(Newser) – Political guru Karl Rove may be predicting a Mitt Romney win next week, but at least he's keeping his predictions more modest than Dick Morris' "landslide." Instead, Rove notes in the Wall Street Journal that Romney has a thin lead in national polls—he's ahead in 19 out of 31 national surveys, averaging to a 48.4% to 47.2% advantage. Rove also points to early voting numbers, arguing they show a weaker Democratic turnout compared to four years ago and better numbers for Republicans.

In key state Ohio alone, Democrat early votes are down 181,275 from 2008, while Republicans are up 75,858—that's a 257,133-vote swing, which nearly equals President Obama's winning margin from last election, 262,224. Add up the data, along with Romney's better crowd sizes and other intangibles, and Rove thinks next Tuesday will belong to Romney. "Let's call it 51% to 48%, with Mr. Romney carrying at least 279 Electoral College votes, probably more," writes Rove.

http://www.newser.com/story/156810/rove-romneys-going-to-win-a-squeaker.html

[RomneyLies]

1. Silly Karl, comparing 2008 early votes to the current

Less time to early vote in Ohio + Several days left = THE Math fail for turdblossom.

[Vincardog]

2. hey KKKarl want to bet $10,000 on it? What odds will you give me? Douchebag

[scheming daemons]

3. Rove in 2006: "We will hold the House and Senate. You have your math, I have *THE* math."

[Drunken Irishman]

4. So in other words: Obama is going to win comfortably.

[zebe83]

5. Are Rove's figures correct?

Are we really down 181k early votes and are they really up 76k?

[Jackpine Radical]

7. How could you question Rove's integrity or acumen?

We old-timers on this board have learn to quiver when he makes predictions of this sort, and it drives some of our more hysterical and unethical members to make up poll results that seem to contradict him. I'm so sure of a Romney victory that I've been trying to get 4-1 odds with a Republican acquaintance who keeps me informed on how well Romney's doing. I can't for the life of me understand why he won't snap up my bet & make an easy $20.

[zebe83]

12. Thanks!

[Jackpine Radical]

13. I'm sure you'll be able to make use of my comment

by re-posting it on certain other sites where sarcasm is an alien concept.

[MADem]

6. Jeb "I own a Private FEMA-like Company" Bush is predicting the same bullshit.

You'd think if they all got the same sheet music, they could at least fiddle with the arrangement a bit.

Is that NEWSER a piece of wingnut shit, or what?

[budkin]

8. Can't wait to see egg on his face again

[DemocratSinceBirth]

9. I Think Rove's Early Vote Claim Was Debunked/nt

[clydefrand]

10. On the other hand, Rove probably knows exactly

how many of Romney's son's electronic voting machines have been FIXED. It won't really matter who votes for who, the machines are likely to elect Rliar, unless, Obama does really have a very large actual lead, to where NOT WINNING will certainlly bring law suits againt the election officials.

[subterranean]

11. Romney's "better crowd sizes"?

What alternative universe is he living in?

[courseofhistory]

14. National vote has little to do with winning because

in RMoney's case he has a big lead in the South where swing states are not and the national average then becomes skewed in his favor. What counts is the electoral college in which RMoney doesn't lead and which his paths to victory there are almost nil.

[SoapBox]

15. IF, Dirty Mittens could even win...but I think the headline should have said

"Rove: Romney's Going to Win by Cheating"

Which state this time, will be the one that the Pukes try and take away (chads...illegal votes...etc., etc., etc.)?

[spiderpig]

16. Oh, bite me. When are his 15 minutes up anyway?

Oh, that's right. Faux Noise is still on the air.

I just can't tolerate this gasbag anymore.