GOTV in Louisiana (LA) 11/01/12, Dems lead Reps 3 to 2 in EV

[ffr]

~17.3% of likely voters (numbers day-over-day only changed by ~500 votes) strange

Democratic lead
> 56,700 votes

Statewide early/mail numbers:
Democrats -- 175,263 or 51.0 percent (Dems to Reps only 59.6%)
Republican -- 118,560, or 34.5 percent (Dems to Reps only 40.4%)
Others -- 49,830, or 14.5 percent

GMU.EDU 2012 Election Statistics
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[fleur-de-lisa]

1. I was scratching my head over the 14.5% voting 'others' . . .

then I remembered former Governor Buddy Roemer. I assume that's who they're voting for? When I voted for PBO last week I noticed there were about 10 or 12 choices for the presidential election, but I forgot about Buddy. Well, anyone but rMoney!

I know it won't last, but I love seeing the numbers for Dems up so high!!!

[finecraft]

2. Best guess who the "Other" vote is for: Gary Johnson

All the Ron Paul Bots I know are voting for Johnson. The rest are not voting. And that's just fine with me! It was odd when I went to early vote last week...half the people in line were PBO supporters like me, the other half were there for the Libertarian! Nobody likes Mitt in Iberia Parish.

[tarheelsunc]

3. Doesn't that just mean that 14.5% of early voters aren't registered with a party?

[finecraft]

5. A lot of (R) people I know have switched to (I)

starting in 2008 because of Ron Paul. They vote for the (R) in state and local elections, but they refuse to vote for the RINO for President. They hated McCain last time, and they despise Romney more! I almost guarantee they are not voting for Romney. A lot of Libertarians in Independent clothing... It's so much fun being a Progressive Democrat in an extremely Republican state! There's always some kind of drama going on with them!

[fleur-de-lisa]

6. I think you're right, Tarheel . . .

You can't be registered as an Independent in Louisiana. I think they call it 'Unaffiliated' or 'No Affiliation', something like that.

[bornskeptic]

4. Actually registered Democrats outnumber registered Republicans about 2:1 in Louisiana.

Only about half of those Democrats will vote Democratic in the presidentioal election.
Other states which are heavily Democratic in voter self-identification and consistently vote Republican in presidential elections are Arkansas, Oklahoma, Kentucky and West Virginia.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Political_party_strength_in_U.S._states