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ffr

(22,670 posts)
Thu Nov 1, 2012, 02:00 PM Nov 2012

GOTV Colorado (CO), 11/01/12 Dems close gap

With 1,305885 votes cast in early voting, Reps lead Dems by 3.8 points
Republican lead
~36,565 votes

Statewide early/mail numbers:
Democrats -- 457,060 or 35.0 percent (Dems to Reps only 48.1%)
Republicans -- 493,625 or 37.8 percent (Dems to Reps only 51.9%)
Others -- 355,201 or 27.2 percent

Assuming Colorado IAPs support based on recent polls of 48/31 (79% of 1.00) in favor of Obama and unscientifically assuming the majority of the 21% undecideds split the same way and discarding what remains (about 5%) as votes for 3rd party candidates, the numbers above would reflect:

Dems: 663,361 or 51.4%
Reps: 626,861 or 48.6%

This may be or may not be something closer to a realistic conservative estimate of the final result ratios, but it does place weight on undecideds. So pick which ratios you believe.
GMU.EDU 2012 Election Statistics
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GOTV my fellow Democrats. Come on Colorado! Swing the congressional balance of power to Obama. Victory 2012

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