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cali

(114,904 posts)
Tue May 17, 2016, 01:57 PM May 2016

My guess is Hillary will win both Oregon and Kentucky

And not just because they're closed primaries, but because I think people are sick of the primaries and.because at this point, the sense of inevitability is baked into voters psyches.

And if he does lose them, I think Bernie should bow out before California.

31 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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My guess is Hillary will win both Oregon and Kentucky (Original Post) cali May 2016 OP
just a guess but think OR for sanders and KY for Hillary (close). riversedge May 2016 #1
Literally, one minute ago new turnout numbers from OR: CrowCityDem May 2016 #2
link? nt grasswire May 2016 #3
Here: CrowCityDem May 2016 #11
Probably working stiffs Skink May 2016 #15
Even working stiffs can drop a letter in the mail. Codeine May 2016 #22
I think Hill needs to resign immediately and endorse Sanders (and take Bill with her) yourpaljoey May 2016 #4
Bernie is in 3rd place behind Trump. JaneyVee May 2016 #6
Bernie has lost, Hillary has more votes. Get over it already. trueblue2007 May 2016 #17
BS is the one losing... dubyadiprecession May 2016 #28
I think HRC supporters have become complacent due to... JaneyVee May 2016 #5
I still think Sanders has Oregon. It seems like his supporters there are really longterm fans, not anotherproletariat May 2016 #7
I don't think tonight will influence Bernie firebrand80 May 2016 #8
I'd be surprised, but that would be great. Maybe the behavior of the Bernie people in NV is enough YouDig May 2016 #9
What's going on today? Renew Deal May 2016 #10
I actually think Bernie will win both obamanut2012 May 2016 #12
Don't fall for it ... it's a psychological TRAP! Mind games! :-P NurseJackie May 2016 #13
Huh?! Bernie and his supporters are in this to the contested convention! amborin May 2016 #14
Who are you and what have you done with cali? tularetom May 2016 #16
Yeah, I'd like to know too. Pastiche423 May 2016 #19
And there goes one of your own, under the bus Tarc May 2016 #29
She does this once in a while. It drives me a little nuts, but I respect her opinion. I just Ed Suspicious May 2016 #31
I agree. There is no point unless he gets a blowout in Oregon. bettyellen May 2016 #18
Hear, hear. Needed to be said. A welcome dose of "realpolitik". Surya Gayatri May 2016 #20
You are guessing wrong on this one cali, Bernie will squeak by in KY and sweep Or. Just watch and litlbilly May 2016 #21
I think he's going to take it all the way through to the end... TCJ70 May 2016 #23
I hope Sanders goes all the way to the convention. The platform needs amending. hellofromreddit May 2016 #24
Oregon will be a big win for Bernie oberliner May 2016 #25
Yes, just lie down and lay your tired head on the guillotine frame. Peregrine Took May 2016 #26
cali—There is no reason for Bernie Sanders to "drop" or suspend his campaign. CobaltBlue May 2016 #27
This message was self-deleted by its author TM99 May 2016 #30
 

CrowCityDem

(2,348 posts)
2. Literally, one minute ago new turnout numbers from OR:
Tue May 17, 2016, 02:04 PM
May 2016

Say that Portland and the suburbs, which are Bernie's best areas, have the 4th and 5th lowest turnout in the state. That's according the Benchmark.

Not good news for Bernie.

 

JaneyVee

(19,877 posts)
5. I think HRC supporters have become complacent due to...
Tue May 17, 2016, 02:06 PM
May 2016

The media narrative that Hillary has this wrapped up already. Which helps Bernie.

 

anotherproletariat

(1,446 posts)
7. I still think Sanders has Oregon. It seems like his supporters there are really longterm fans, not
Tue May 17, 2016, 02:07 PM
May 2016

just occasional voters/supporters.

firebrand80

(2,760 posts)
8. I don't think tonight will influence Bernie
Tue May 17, 2016, 02:07 PM
May 2016

Regardless of who wins, it's probably going to be <5 delegates either way. Bernie is already highly unlikely to win the primary, tonight's result won't make it very much more unlikely.

Because we have proportional delegate allocation, it's hard to have a dramatically race-alerting result. Even when you win a big state by a healthy margin the losing side can say "well, we got a good chunk of delegates."

YouDig

(2,280 posts)
9. I'd be surprised, but that would be great. Maybe the behavior of the Bernie people in NV is enough
Tue May 17, 2016, 02:08 PM
May 2016

to push her over the top.

obamanut2012

(26,080 posts)
12. I actually think Bernie will win both
Tue May 17, 2016, 02:11 PM
May 2016

Not by much, but will win -- the states are perfect demographics for him.

NurseJackie

(42,862 posts)
13. Don't fall for it ... it's a psychological TRAP! Mind games! :-P
Tue May 17, 2016, 02:11 PM
May 2016

A double-inverse-reverse-inside-out psych game to raise our expectations for Hillary and to make a possible win for Bernie even more DEMORALIZING for us so that we just give up.

tularetom

(23,664 posts)
16. Who are you and what have you done with cali?
Tue May 17, 2016, 02:17 PM
May 2016

The FBI investigation into emailgate is the 800# gorilla in this primary

Bernie should not bow out until there is a credible resolution to it. Not dumping it in the lap of the Obama justice department where it will just sit and fester and become fodder for Trump during the general election campaign. If its still an issue (along with other allied matters like the pay to play Clinton foundation) after the convention, the Democrats may as well pack it in as far as the presidency is concerned.

Ed Suspicious

(8,879 posts)
31. She does this once in a while. It drives me a little nuts, but I respect her opinion. I just
Tue May 17, 2016, 09:04 PM
May 2016

disagree with it here.

 

litlbilly

(2,227 posts)
21. You are guessing wrong on this one cali, Bernie will squeak by in KY and sweep Or. Just watch and
Tue May 17, 2016, 08:34 PM
May 2016

see.

TCJ70

(4,387 posts)
23. I think he's going to take it all the way through to the end...
Tue May 17, 2016, 08:36 PM
May 2016

...because that's what he told his supporters he would do. He's your senator. Do you think he won't keep his word?

 

hellofromreddit

(1,182 posts)
24. I hope Sanders goes all the way to the convention. The platform needs amending.
Tue May 17, 2016, 08:39 PM
May 2016

And the democrats apparently need more help to actually recognize the new generation of voters.

Peregrine Took

(7,414 posts)
26. Yes, just lie down and lay your tired head on the guillotine frame.
Tue May 17, 2016, 08:46 PM
May 2016

It all over but for the LOSING thing, you know, in November.

Response to cali (Original post)

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