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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumAmericans’ Distaste For Both Trump And Clinton Is Record-Breaking
Americans Distaste For Both Trump And Clinton Is Record-Breaking
The Democratic primary will technically march on, but Hillary Clinton is almost certainly going to be her partys nominee. Same with Donald Trump. And voters dont appear thrilled at the prospect: Clinton and Trump are both more strongly disliked than any nominee at this point in the past 10 presidential cycles.
Normally, when we talk about candidate likability, we use favorability ratings, which combine strongly favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable and strongly unfavorable. But that didnt work so well in the Republican primary, where Trump was able to win despite a relatively low net favorability rating because his strongly favorable rating with Republican primary voters was among the highest in the field. So lets look at Trump and Clintons strongly1 favorable and strongly unfavorable ratings among general election voters.2
These are people who dont just like or dislike the candidates, they really like or dislike them.
No past candidate comes close to Clinton, and especially Trump, in terms of engendering strong dislike a little more than six months before the election.
cont'd
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/americans-distaste-for-both-trump-and-clinton-is-record-breaking/
The Democratic primary will technically march on, but Hillary Clinton is almost certainly going to be her partys nominee. Same with Donald Trump. And voters dont appear thrilled at the prospect: Clinton and Trump are both more strongly disliked than any nominee at this point in the past 10 presidential cycles.
Normally, when we talk about candidate likability, we use favorability ratings, which combine strongly favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable and strongly unfavorable. But that didnt work so well in the Republican primary, where Trump was able to win despite a relatively low net favorability rating because his strongly favorable rating with Republican primary voters was among the highest in the field. So lets look at Trump and Clintons strongly1 favorable and strongly unfavorable ratings among general election voters.2
These are people who dont just like or dislike the candidates, they really like or dislike them.
No past candidate comes close to Clinton, and especially Trump, in terms of engendering strong dislike a little more than six months before the election.
cont'd
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/americans-distaste-for-both-trump-and-clinton-is-record-breaking/
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Americans’ Distaste For Both Trump And Clinton Is Record-Breaking (Original Post)
Lodestar
May 2016
OP
Lodestar—I’m not bothering with it. The Ds are more a concern. At least Rs have guts.
CobaltBlue
May 2016
#1
Directly from 538....numbers don't lie, just as in NY, MD, DE, IL, AZ, MA, NV! Audits for everyone!
ViseGrip
May 2016
#2
One because of the person we know he is, the other because of the person detractors say she is. nt
Jitter65
May 2016
#3
The ruling class welcomes the hate of the people because it is of no consequence to their mission,
NorthCarolina
May 2016
#4
10 election cycles? Was Gerald Ford hated more? I doubt it. This is unprecedented.
corkhead
May 2016
#5
CobaltBlue
(1,122 posts)1. Lodestar—I’m not bothering with it. The Ds are more a concern. At least Rs have guts.
ViseGrip
(3,133 posts)2. Directly from 538....numbers don't lie, just as in NY, MD, DE, IL, AZ, MA, NV! Audits for everyone!
That is what America needs at this moment......
Jitter65
(3,089 posts)3. One because of the person we know he is, the other because of the person detractors say she is. nt
NorthCarolina
(11,197 posts)4. The ruling class welcomes the hate of the people because it is of no consequence to their mission,
and certainly no threat to their corrupt system in which they call all the shots.
corkhead
(6,119 posts)5. 10 election cycles? Was Gerald Ford hated more? I doubt it. This is unprecedented.