Welcome to DU!
The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards.
Join the community:
Create a free account
Support DU (and get rid of ads!):
Become a Star Member
Latest Breaking News
General Discussion
The DU Lounge
All Forums
Issue Forums
Culture Forums
Alliance Forums
Region Forums
Support Forums
Help & Search
Random Walk-President Obama Has A 96.9% Chance Of Winning Ohio
nfernoman wrote on Nov 01, 2012 14:55:22 #
In reply to NPtrade's comment on Nov 01, 2012 14:52:15 who wrote: Very interesting. I would never accuse the fine people of...
Just ran OH on the data this morning: 
I use a shorter window (12 days) and filter by live polls only since Ohio has so much polling data.
Current Obama margin: 3%. Daily StdDev: 0.681%. Random walk model shows a 3.07% chance of Romney winning with 5.54 days left to go.
1 replies
= new reply since forum marked as read
= new reply since forum marked as read
