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Democratic lead in Clark at 55,000; Washoe remains tight
With two left in early/mail voting, the Democrats had a solid but not spectacular day (4,000 votes gained) and now lead in Clark County by about 55,000 votes.
Meanwhile, the Republicans won Washoe by 300 votes out of 7,700 cast. That county will be close.
An interesting phenomenon is there is no second-week surge as there usually is, which makes me wonder whether both parties have exhausted their enthusiastic voters in early voting. We will find out next week.
The Clark early/mail numbers:
Democrats -- 189,549, or 47.6 percent
Republicans -- 134,036, or 33.7 percent
Others -- 74,045, or 19 percent
Turnout is now at 397,630 -- that's 47 percent of Clark voters. If turnout is 80 percent in the South, 58 percent of the vote already is in.
The turnout differential is now about two and a half points in the GOP's favor (51.0 percent-48.6 percent). Keep an eye on that number.
- Jon Ralston Reports
Meanwhile, the Republicans won Washoe by 300 votes out of 7,700 cast. That county will be close.
An interesting phenomenon is there is no second-week surge as there usually is, which makes me wonder whether both parties have exhausted their enthusiastic voters in early voting. We will find out next week.
The Clark early/mail numbers:
Democrats -- 189,549, or 47.6 percent
Republicans -- 134,036, or 33.7 percent
Others -- 74,045, or 19 percent
Turnout is now at 397,630 -- that's 47 percent of Clark voters. If turnout is 80 percent in the South, 58 percent of the vote already is in.
The turnout differential is now about two and a half points in the GOP's favor (51.0 percent-48.6 percent). Keep an eye on that number.
Comment: Sorry Jon, but this weeks numbers do point to a Democratic surge, as I explain in last night's thread.
And DU Thread I posted from last night with the unofficial two county breakdown. <here>
2 replies
= new reply since forum marked as read
= new reply since forum marked as read
if Clark County (Las Vegas) keeps banking 3,500 votes per day, Dems will have an advantage of ~65,000 votes. In 2008, Clark had ~80,000 in the bank and Obama carried the state by 12%. Washoe County (Reno) is tiny in population, by comparison. In 2008 Washoe County Dems led by ~10,000 votes, and at the current "phenomenon" rate of Reps gaining at the rate of 300/day, it'll take them until May 7th to breach Clark's lead.
Every vote, in every county, in every state matters. GOTV and let's win this thing in a landslide!
