2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumHillary Bets Big On Kentucky's Democratic Derby
LOUISVILLE, Ky. -- If the Kentucky Democratic primary were the Derby, Hillary Clinton would be racing around the track a dozen times right now, passing the finish line again and again. Anything to secure a victory in the race.
Sen. Bernie Sanders, of course, is running hard in Kentucky, but that is to be expected. His brand is stubborn relentlessness, and he wants to pile up delegates to improve his policy and cult clout at the Democratic convention in July in Philadelphia.
Clinton is a different story. Statistically and practically, she is the Democrats presumptive presidential nominee. And yet there is a nagging worry even among her own party insiders that she is going to be a tough sell in November, the favorable Electoral College math notwithstanding.
A string of recent losses to Sanders -- and his continued strong showing, stronger than Clintons, in test match-ups against Republican Donald Trump -- have heightened that concern.
So although Clinton surely wishes she didn't have to spend any more time or money on the nomination race, she is doing just that in Kentucky
So why the big Kentucky push?
For one, Clinton cant afford a repeat of what happened in another coal state, West Virginia, where her attempts to explain the inevitable decline of the fuel came off (unfairly) as a condescending wish to have that very thing happen.
http://m.huffpost.com/us/entry/hillary-clinton-kentucky_us_5739eee0e4b08f96c183a777/amp
I expect Clinton to win Kentucky but it might be an interesting night.
msongs
(67,406 posts)whatthehey
(3,660 posts)No I do not mean traditional DU boogeyman like "corporatists" who vote D but serve "the oligarchy". I mean people whose great great great great grandparents switched to Dem and who maintain it on that basis even though nothing on earth could persuade them to vote D. Do we really think Kim Davis and her clan voted Obama the heathen socialist Muslim? KY D resgistrations well outnumber R, but Dems have no chance at all of carrying the state. Much depends on how much strife they want to cause in the enemy ranks. I could easily imagine another wave of Trump support voting Sanders to do what they can to weaken Dem efforts (even though I doubt it achieves much of note to this end), while having absolutely no interest in supporting him in the GE. Sanders will surely get genuine support too, but KY and WV are not very different.
oldandhappy
(6,719 posts)Buzz cook
(2,472 posts)Polls indicate Sanders has a fair lead there.
Until last week Clinton had stopped spending on primaries including Kentucky, while Sanders has a continued presence there.
If Clinton wins the state it will be an upset.